Tatamy
-
Posts
2,523 -
Joined
-
Last visited
About Tatamy
-
Have to careful with some of the real end outcomes coming out in the models. GDPS is calling for 30”+ for my area. In 2021 it did something similar (RDPS) only it called for 50” so there is an history with that model. Actual storm amounts ranged from 24-36” where I am.
-
-
Early Monday morning 2/16 last minute event OBS/Discussion
Tatamy replied to The Iceman's topic in Philadelphia Region
2” -
Storm total 2” on all surfaces.
-
Been getting steady light to at times moderate snow here. 1.3” new OTG. 31/30
-
Steady very light snow. 36/28. Expecting about an inch here.
-
Do you know how to read and interpret a computer model?
-
Here are the 06z and 12z runs of the EPS-AI.
-
I am posting the 12z ensemble guidance below from the EPS, CMCE, and EPS AIFS. The EPS AIFS has actually been quite consistent with its precip field in recent runs.
-
Places north and west could do okay however it’s borderline near the coast. Interesting run.
-
06z Euro - the coast rains
-
That visibility there is 1/4 to 3/8 mile so this is moderate to heavy snow that has been falling there for most of the afternoon.
-
I am surprised that there is not ice on LI Sound. Last time that I saw that was February 1979 during the week prior to PD1.
-
I experienced the storm in East Northport. The things that I remember about it are the consistently low visibility that lasted through out that day. It averaged between 1/8 to 1/4 mile sometimes less all day. The flakes were quite small probably because of the strong winds whipping in off LI Sound. I measured 30” in that storm. I didn’t see a storm like that again until 2016 when I also measured 30” where I am in Bethlehem, PA.
-
My money is on Blutarsky.
