BlizzardNole

1 hour ago, Cobalt said:

:/ 

I'm pretty sure I've had more winter storm watches than inches of snowfall in this pathetic winter.

34 minutes ago, 66degreesnorth said:

Does anyone on here remember/know if DC has even recently had a storm drop 3+ inches of sleet? I vaguely recall a March storm a few years ago that was supposed to be a sleet bomb, but did that fizzle out? I guess I'm wondering what a sleetstorm accumulating at the rate of an inch/hour for 3+ hours would actually look like. 

I don't know what DC got but the Valentines sleet bomb of 2007 was one of the craziest things I've seen with hours of heavy sleet accumulating 4-8 inches in central MD.  It was pouring off our roof after the gutter was full and left a 20" deep ridge just outside the garage door.  Some places got a period of freezing rain at the end that solidified it so bad that cars were cemented in place.

This is one I actually hope falls apart.  Ice storms are good for nothing -- see the devastating 100-car pileup that has happened in Texas with 5 dead and dozens injured due to ice.

2 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Some posters would be disappointed in March ‘93. 

Talk about a nightmare.  I lived in Calvert for that and we got 5 or so inches of wet snow followed by driving rain and a spike to 52 degrees.  Watching news coverage from N&W of the city was heart breaking.  It played a role in me picking NW suburbs when I locked into a long-term job based in DC.  I just didn't go quite far enough NW.

Check out this cold smoke forecast for Dallas.  They have forecast highs of 32 or below 5 of the next 7 days.  DCA won't have one 32 or below max this entire winter.

Only 1.5" in the snow hole of Germantown while places 15 miles away get 4-5" yet again.  Frederick has seen multiple WSW level snows and we haven't had one since 2019.  Give me a warm shutout winter like last year over this crap any time.  BRING ON SPRING

3 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said:

For the first time this year I’m actually pretty bummed. This was an epic rug pull. I mean just a few hours out...man this one hurts. 

I'm numb to it now.  I never bought into this one knowing it would somehow fail.  I'm convinced we finish a second straight winter without a WSW level snow.  Trip to Dallas for their cold smoke snowstorm Monday with temps in the teen and 20s?  LOL

52 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said:

Imagine trying to make plans for travel or something perhaps outside for this coming Thursday. Anyone here really have an idea what's about to happen? I sure don't

You can say cold rain and have over a 90% chance of being right.  Cold and dry, warm up and rain, cold and dry, warm up and rain.  Rinse and repeat.

Everyone is going to get suckered in again only to have the event arrive as an inch of snow/sleet followed by cold rain.  Not me

1 hour ago, psuhoffman said:

...Even the 1990s...think about that one good snowstorm we had in 1997.  BWI recorded 5.8" but the high that day was 38 and the low was 30 and if I recall most of the snow fell with temps right around 32 degrees...

Oh I remember that one!  It was in the 60s the day before and I was out and about doing errands with short sleeves.  I heard WSW on the radio and laughed thinking no way.  Damn if it didn't snow 7 inches in Germantown the next afternoon with the most beautiful, photogenic snow.  It was the only event of that winter (and 1998 was a shutout). 

With this train wreck of a winter, I will treat all threats going forward with total doubt like that one.  I don't care if we have a gulf baby with a perfectly placed high to the north.  I am going to doubt all the way until it happens. 

I was heading out for some Superbowl snacks and decided to take the short drive up Rt. 27 to Damascus.  I had 1" of slop on grass and wet roads at home.  These pics are from just 6 miles from my house.  It was about 3-4" new, including on parking lots.  Car temp said 32 compared to 35 at home. 

Winding down in the Milestone UHI with only an inch on grass.  Pretty pathetic compared to the expected 4-6 as of last night.  I wish we could get just one event this winter that meets expectations and is not a fraction of the expected amount going in.  I'm not holding my breath.

14 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

Erin, I've lived in Germantown before and the difference between certain areas of town and others is stark. At Milestone off 355 and 29, roads can be wet, but my in-laws off Brink and into the local hills can have fully caved roads and treacherous driving conditions. It's weird. Don't fret though. Enjoy the snow!

I am at Milestone and can vouch for this.  I've seen 3 inches less than five miles up Rt 27 when I had a slushy coating.

The snow is pretty to watch but is not accumulating, even of the deck and grass.  It's just keeping a steady state of about 3/4 inch.  Very disappointing compared to the 4-6" expected!  Oh well, I'll just enjoy the cottonball snow TV and the trees, and not look at the ground.  Got some 2-inch plus chunks falling now.  Oh if it was just 5 degrees colder!

Mod snow in Germantown with large flakes, with a little more than 1/2 inch.  Starting to stick to roads.  33 degrees

Beautiful map MilleVilleWx!  I am locking that up and tossing any models that disagree 

Nice to see Dunkirk in the 4-6" on the LWX map.  Hi Wes!

That Jan. 30, 2010 storm -- my forecast was 2-4" and my parents in Calvert were 6-10, so I went down there.  They got 7.5" and back home in Germantown was 7" LOL

@Ka60:  do you mean approaching 9" using the standard 6-hour measurements, or 9" on the ground?  Despite being so close, Clarksburg can get significantly more than me down here at the intersection of 355 and 27.  One time in an elevation dependent event, I saw 3-4" on the ground a few miles up 27 when I had a coating of slush.

Cute picture there @wxtrix!  Likes to chase bugs huh -- just wait 'til the 17-year cicadas come this May!

These bands have really made up for the bitter disappointment of Sunday.  I never did measuring so I'll be curious to see what people nearby came up with.

57 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

The upper level component with this storm has been incredible. How often do you see it snowing in Richmond, Bar Harbor, and Pittsburgh at the same time?

 

And raining in Boston hee hee.  Sorry but with all their superbowls and blizzards, I get a little kick out of that.

Nice snow globe effect with fluffy flakes.  I love when it's snowing and the grass is completely covered.  How about this little typo here LOL:

30 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said:

Philly got 6.1" lol

Boston proper got just a couple inches and flipped to rain/snow mix all night.  Mostly rain now and 34 degrees at Logan, while NYC got wrecked.

Nice snow falling here now as I've just gotten under the band.

4 minutes ago, jayyy said:

Look at that moisture field right over emmitsburg to Gettysburg. Crazy. Someone will hit 20+ up there by the time it’s over.   

And there it is -- just north of Sabillasville.  The ob says they had 2 inch per hour rates for hours.  Incredible!

21 minutes ago, ErinInTheSky said:

Lol. This is seriously getting on my nerves. I'm not getting another 5" in Germantown. I'm at 2".

I have no idea how the models can be so bad. This model told me 18 hours from the event that I'd be getting 11" of snow. Throughout the event, it has continued to say "Oh don't worry, you're still gonna get 8 more. 6 more. 5 more."

That it can be so wrong, even NOW, mid event, after all that's happened so far... it just blows my mind.

Give me 2". Let me beat my December snow. Let me meet my minimum threshold for Capital Weather Gang's "bust" range (which I still haven't met yet, I'm only at 2" and they said it would be a bust at 4").

I LOL when I saw that Euro map with 5" for Germantown.  I bet we don't see 5 cm.  My prediction is just some snow TV with no accumulation.

Never get excited ahead of time unless we have a Miller A low coming out of the Gulf and up the coast with arctic high in the perfect position.  

Still all sleet near Germantown.  I checked out the Philly sub out of curiosity and was surprised to read about a raging sleet storm up there.

4 minutes ago, ErinInTheSky said:

Sleetfest in Germantown, pretty significant amounts. 

So look... the snow totals in this storm, for me at least, suck. Like, I was excited for the Euro models, but then I was like "at least I'll be happy if I break double digits", then the CWG/LWX forecasts came out, and I revised to "at least I'll be happy if I break 6"". Now I'm still sitting at 2" which is under even the "bust" range for CWG.

BUT. One thing I do like about this event is the non-stop winter precip for 2-3 days in a row. It keeps the winter storm feeling going for a long time. That's nice. It looks like a beautiful mess outside

Good thoughts.  I'm over it now but I was checking out the cells in the Panic Room yesterday and WxWatcher had his sickle ready to go.  I mean even the 10% low end amount for NWS was about 4" for me and I got 2".  But like you said it's a long duration winter weather event and that's cool.

Still sleet here and 29 degrees.  Just imagine being under these echoes NE of Philly: