BlizzardNole

Just looked at my point/click forecast   Here let me fix it for you:

Today:  New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches millimeters possible.

Tonight:  New precipitation amounts between 1 and 2 inches millimeters possible.

FAIL!  Just look at this and marvel at the power of the Germantown desert rain shield.  0.08 overnight with heavy amounts all around.  I expect almost nothing from the rain later today.

The MoCo-HoCo microdesert shows up real nice on that map -- just convert the amounts for that swath to centimeters and it looks about right

1 hour ago, WxUSAF said:

Euro broadly 1.5-2.5” of rain through the metro regions. 

Yes please!  I would be really happy with that  

They also had a FF watch up for yesterday evening until 10 PM for possible heavy thunderstorms, including the MoCo-HoCo desert region.  Got scraps.

Some of those mountainous spots west of us where the heaviest totals are predicted have had 3-6" from thunderstorms in the last 72 hours.  Not good!

I am just hoping for more than an inch here.  It has been since the second week of August that we had a decent rain.  Got 0.3 one day last week and a big 0.1 yesterday.

5 to 7.5 inches in my and NPZ's areas and light amounts in Calvert   How about No

5 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Anybody looked at the Labor Day Weekend forecast? Wowza 

That is one of the prettiest Labor Day Weekend forecasts I've seen.  Wall-to-wall sunshine and highs in the 70s?  Yes please!

2 hours ago, CAPE said:

6z GFS does have a qpf minimum in our local desert regions.

Hi

I do think some places will get lots of rain but lots of places will get very little too (I can name one right now).  It seems that happens more now where certain areas get pounded and others not much.  I'd be surprised to see an inch total....for this whole week

44 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

Right smack in the middle.  

Will make my .3" of fail all the more impressive.  

Wow just 0.3?  I am going big and predicting 0.8 for my spot.  If I did get 1.5 or 2" I would be shocked and happy

I am hoping for 1-2" out of this as we have a better chance with this kind of rain set-up than summer thunderstorms which almost always miss.  My bar is 1.0 total

I heard that too!  He must mean kph right?

NPZ congrats on your 0.6 which is double what my parched area has over the last week.  NorthArlington nice video!  We are talking about maybe Tampa/St. Pete area for retirement -- I guess there might be some lighting here and there in that area

The Germantown desert shield showed its power in a new way.  This was heading SE then took a hard S turn just as it got to the Shield -- see the severe warning box pointing south.  The Germandesert shield could stop Ida in its tracks

46 minutes ago, Prospero said:

I think Ida looked better an hour and half ago. Maybe just me.

Will Ida have a well-defined eye by noon EST? I have my doubts.

On the one hand I get some optimism that maybe this thing won't strengthen as fast as feared, but on the other hand it could actually be worse if it only strengthens gradually then explodes just before landfall.  I'd like to see it peak early then hit an ERC and weaken just before landfall.

Whew it's a warm one!  Moved my son into a College Park apartment this morning and get to do it all again in an hour for the daughter.  Better than last year when we moved our daughter into a dorm on a 95-degree day and you couldn't park closer than about 500 feet away!

NPZ:  I don't know about your area but we do just fine here with rain during the six-month long 49 degrees and rain season from November to April.  It's just summer thunderstorms that almost always miss here, likely due to higher elevations close by from SW all the way around to NE.  We did get one big one on August 10 but I was in OC 

I predict 0.00 for me and am certain that I will be watering my garden this evening

I was just in a meeting with some people in Arlington and DC and they were talking about their big sudden storm.  So jealous!  My crispy yard could use just one storm but I know it won't happen.

Last night's storms.  One looked like a can't miss as it moved east but hit a wall at I-270 which shows clearly here.  I got to see lightning to the north for a while, then the south.  Amazing micro climate.

What a ridiculous spot this is.  Been hearing thunder for 45 minutes but not a drop as storms go in all directions around.  I mean look at this.  Even God can't make it rain here (yeah I called you out)

I've been finding monarch chrysalises on the fence, house siding, potted plants, etc.  I have brought 20 in so far.  I must have low predation this summer because my 60-70 tropical milkweeds have been half stripped in the last week and the cats might run out!  If they do, I can take them over to a meadow nearby that has lots of native swamp milkweeds.  It would be like going from tender baby romaine to kale but they'll live 

Nice morning to be out on the deck -- if only I didn't have three annual cicadas having a damn concert out there!  Don't they know the early morning noise rules? 

Amazing how the rain keep picking on the same areas.  I'm confident enough in no rain here that I watered everything this morning and am grilling burgers outside this evening no worries 

28 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

I swear I’m not crazy lol. The original didn’t. You can expand my post and see there’s not one there. But thanks

You're not crazy!    Soon after I posted I realized I left off the legend and edited the post.

I really wish the iweather rainfall map went back further than 72 hours.  It is really nice and and shows my rain scraps pretty accurately.  A huuuuuuge 0.3 today -- I will stay vigilant

1 hour ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

I'd love to see a region-wide accumulated precip map for the last 3 months.   The disparity must be astounding. 

Here's one from the drop-down menu on NWS-Sterling.  It's not nearly as good as the iweathernet map, but that one only goes to 72 hours.