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powderfreak

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Everything posted by powderfreak

  1. powderfreak
    Great analysis. Makes sense. That SE flow led to more widespread max lift, while the second image has the flow aligning with the boundary orientation. Leads to a more narrow max axis potential.
  2. powderfreak
    That in NYC would be interesting to say the least. Several zones of 2”+ from Canada to the South Coast showing the potential… but the consensus of a stripe of 4-8” seems to continue to aim from NYC area NE-ward into CT.
  3. powderfreak
    It’s funny how much our opinions are based on other regional observations and the jackpot zone. TAN is on pace for an 8-inch July based on rainfall through the first 14 days. Stein lol. But it’s true that ORH and BDL are on a 16-inch pace.
  4. powderfreak
    As we’ve seen several times across the northeast this past month, the atmosphere seems to want to drop big rain amounts. The water table region wide is very high, any of these events will cause big impacts. Active jet (great divergence aloft) and upper level energy with troughs continually interacting with this moisture rich air. High PWATS all the time now. How often do we see 5-10” rain amounts forecast? Seems like each event now. Wild stuff.
  5. powderfreak
    BDL had a lower relative humidity all afternoon than ORH. It was more arid despite higher dews. Since temps decrease faster than the dew with height, they become closer together and the RH increases with height. You are confusing RH with dew points. BDL at 90/72 is 56% RH (more arid). ORH at 82/68 is 62% (not as arid).
  6. powderfreak
    Wait what? You mean relative humidity? As surface pressure increases (lower elevation) the dew point should go up. How does higher elevations see higher dews?
  7. powderfreak
    Temp of 82F? Just doesn’t get hot there does it… can see why he loves the dews as it’s something that spot can excel at.
  8. powderfreak
    Ahhh the ol’ Golden Shower.
  9. powderfreak
    Bears seem to be thriving. See more of them than deer these days it seems.
  10. powderfreak
    Yes, the HRRR does show development after midnight, that’s true. It also shows it continuing into the afternoon.
  11. powderfreak
    Can you show the models that have it all east of you by daylight?
  12. powderfreak
    Sunday washout.
  13. powderfreak
    Ripton drains that western slope just east of Middlebury… they have to be seeing some issues/damage with 2”+ verifying or even on the low-end compared to local PWS.
  14. powderfreak
    Right? We love rain and clouds... but the dews! The fun part of today was running into this weird looking dog at the mountain.
  15. powderfreak
    Hopefully. It’s rained twice here today now. I’m so f*ing over it .
  16. powderfreak
    Oh the 12km NAM, yikes.
  17. powderfreak
    Almost identical swath. This would be a problem for central/southern areas again.
  18. powderfreak
    High water levels continue for the foreseeable future in many areas and rivers of New England. May not be newsworthy levels but the bulk of New England is pretty saturated, besides the SE desert.
  19. powderfreak
    Tonight was one of the more prolific lightning displays I've seen in a while. The cloud to cloud spider lightning one the storms passed was what really put it over the edge.
  20. powderfreak
    Some scattered 1.5-2” footprints on a few PWS stations, primarily central and southern Greens, but mostly it seemed like 0.25”-1.00” rainfall in the mountain drainages.
  21. powderfreak
    0.74” in the Stratus. That fell in about 15 minutes total.
  22. powderfreak
    Yeah I’m right there… like a handful of pixels NW. Right on Mountain Road and the Rec Path. But if you use default “Stowe” and go a shade NW that’s literally overhead.
  23. powderfreak
    My address is the Stowe dot on this radar. I labeled it Stowe but that’s my literal address. Is there a way to get lat/lon off it? If you are to zoom in, default “Stowe” on RadarScope is like 1 mile ESE on RT 100 (the road shown).
  24. powderfreak
    This is some insane lightning and rain. Holy shit. Strobes and buckets of water.
  25. powderfreak
    We just got very lucky here. Given everything the past few days the last thing I wanted was to be without power. All set on weather right now. Radar velocity shows we just missed a good pulse of 50kt wind like a mile or two to the north.
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