powderfreak

That’s showing a 4-8” at elevation and 2-5” valley type event for a good chunk of geographic area through northern SNE and CNE. Most folks would sign up for that when considering thermal profiles.

Yeah very well could be. Just worth noting when they are so much different than the other snow output. It gives me pause, it worked well up here in several of the paster events in December.

The positive snow depth numbers in these marginal events are not impressive. GFS NAM

Its getting there. Dynamic cooling.

Before the rain and ice. The fluff. Content by StatusProject on X.

Yup, the HRRR is prone to that. 3KM NAM too. This look is wet, low-ratio snow or even white rain with the dark blues. But radar p-types don’t mean or imply anything about accumulations. Just guessing there.

I know I’m getting older when it starts to creep into my head too. Daylight and summer evenings until 9pm? Sounds nice compared to the brutally gray, foggy RN/ZR/IP/SN from today. Felt like a spring system in April except a lot darker.

10km Canadian RDPS under short term models.

The positive snow depth maps show the struggle is real. Kuchie 3km Positive Snow Depth

Positive snow depth would probably be the best but don’t have it for Reggie.

Reggie juiced and looks similar rain/snow line to NAM.

Love the passion. Thats what brought this forum together in the first place.

Sometimes I wonder if people’s perception of the Euro is a little different than what reality actually was. The other models just sucked so much more.

Today was the end of a nice two-week stretch of good snow. It’s raining now in town and freezing rain on the mountain. Solid icing profile on the east side mid-slope, with 30F at 3600ft, 27F at 2400ft and 29F at 1500ft. Snow conditions will lose the fun packed powder surface. It’s raining steadily at 31-34F locally here in the valley… most places around freezing and just above. The 32.1F rain. Under 1200ft.

You get those vibes even when a KU is modeled though.

Good luck! Big adaptive camp going on at Stowe right now. Wounded Warriors. These folks go full send. Never lose hope on skiing or riding.

The wind and wet snow has taken a number on the vegetation this year, more so than most winters.

Yeah the Champlain Valley snowpack in any given winter isn’t too different from elevated interior SNE. In fact, a lot of winters 1,000ft at ORH will have more snow on the ground than the CPV. It’s colder up north and can be prone to more wintry events… but CPV climo isn’t far off your home. I’d put the winter at mediocre due to warmth, but it’s been serviceable with some highlights. Snow cover hasn’t been deep, but it has been consistent. A lot of events up here have favored east of the mountains (SE flow below 850, moist and overrunning marginal air masses)… the snow had been heavy paste until the past stretch.

It’s just darkened it looks like. I bet that’s super bright and hard to get the cloud definition without taking it down a bit. Those peaks have snow.

00z 3km NAM shows the potential for a couple to few inches for someone as the WAA and warm front moves through slowly.

Thanks for the info, I was wondering the exact location but I think I know the field now. Valley flats along the river. Luckily easy access for first responders.

Was that the experienced hiker who died within the past week?

Serious snowmobile accident this evening in Stowe resulted DHART flying in. Think it was in the Moscow area of Stowe. ”There’s not much good that can be said of a high speed snowmobile accident. The only redeeming factor in tonight’s incident is that it took place about 100ft from a helicopter landing zone. Stowe EMS did a fabulous job as first response and Dhart arrived very quickly. Thanks also to Snowmobile Vermont for quickly shuttling responders to the scene. Speed can sometimes be a good thing.”

It’s been tough not being able to share in the good stretches we’ve seen this winter. There have been some poor periods, but there have also been some damn good 2-3 week stretches. One can see the two fun periods, and those both were seen in the mountain valleys as well. Town has seemed about average and the mountain seems to be following a normal trajectory. Average is plenty snowy up here. It’s been hard to call it a bad season so far. But the further SE one goes, the less satisfying winter has been it seems. Average in the means… some great skiing in two periods of time, also a poor period mixed in between. The east side valley (town), has mirrored this.

Yeah that’s excessive. Like over half a dozen children in there too?