powderfreak

Now that is next level dry over 3 months. Under 1” in 3 months… that can be had in 15 minutes in the convective dews of summer. Really hard to see that in New England’s climate and proximity to a moisture source like the Atlantic.

You’re getting some rain with this next one. Not going to be a multi-inch drought buster but should soak in. Given these two 18z progs, I assume we know which one you believe of the GFS or Euro. NAM is decent soak too.

Probably true.

Ah ha, there it is. Thanks! I thought it was odd there was nothing.

Not throwing shade at all, as I know how it goes sometimes… but I have been surprised that Sugarbush hasn’t updated any dialog about what’s going on there since mid-October.

Just loop 925mb temps then look at that snow map and it’s like .

Glad you enjoy them. I don’t do any of the social media but they give me the keys to that one text box and the snow phone to post weather and operations updates. It takes like 15 minutes out of my day but I think people appreciate it (and good to know they do). Took the weekend off though, never got a window for snowmaking, even at night.

Then they’ll wonder why it never snowed again that whole winter lol.

The beauty of following a weather forum is that it’s a hobby that’s sort of an escape from other aspects of life. We can talk science and facts, but opinions are like assholes… everyone has one. We don’t need to see all of them, on either side. 30F here at 750ft and 41F at 1,600ft. No snowmaking again above the inversion.

Maybe we mix out up here too…that’s a solid breeze. Guess the 18z Euro 925mb wind for 10pm does show a more pronounced mixed compressional flow in areas, wrapping around that upper level low in the Maritimes.

For the non-weather educated public out there, these nights can be tough to communicate to. They just always assume the mountain is colder. That's where the "fake cold" thing comes from too on here, when it goes against common perception. It's definitely not fake, but a normal occurrence here at night throughout the year when skies are clear. Posted this in the main thread, but it might get buried. "Just textbook conditions for a cold night and woodfire smoke in the valley bottoms. 700-800ft frozen again tonight (frost made it through the day in the shade) with skim ice on ponds. These would be snowmaking conditions, except the cold is in the wrong place. Meanwhile up Mountain Road at the base of the ski area the temp is 40F. No snowmaking on the hill, while everyone in town thinks it’s a great cold night to make snow. Sometimes the inversions definitely create perception issues around here. "Why isn't the mountain making snow?" It's hard to communicate, but last night the inversion did it as well... no snowmaking on a large part of the mountain, while down in town where people live, it was plenty cold enough.

That's awesome. Well played @snowgeek.

Just textbook conditions for a cold night and woodfire smoke in the valley bottoms. 700-800ft frozen again tonight (frost made it through the day in the shade) with skim ice on ponds. These would be snowmaking conditions, except the cold is in the wrong place. Meanwhile up Mountain Road at the base of the ski area its 40F. No snowmaking on the hill, while everyone in town thinks its a great cold night to make snow. Sometimes the inversions definitely create perception issues around here. "Why isn't the mountain making snow!?"

The Super Moon was pretty cool this evening. Perfect "fake" cold conditions. Clear, calm, full moon. Those nights just have that vibe on the valley bottom.

I feel like models could show 3-6” of water just 24 hours out and you’d still be chained in Stein’s shed… “it’ll fall apart in the next 12 hours”…

17F here while it was like 34F mid-slope elevations.

It is pretty interesting that the month is +5.8 (!!) here at the MVL ASOS, but 6 of 13 days have been below normal? -1 to -5… or +13 to +26. Those are the current options.

Definitely variable but I always think of mixed up (mixing) as a normal dry adiabatic lapse rate. With good mixing it would be much easier to forecast these temps. Cold up high and a consistent trend of warmer temps as you head downward.

We invert again. MWN at 29F at 6,200ft and 23F at 1,600ft. It's 32F at 2,600ft here and 25F at 750ft.

Same up here. This is with the iPhone night mode, so it’s naturally a bit juiced up in the photo from that, but very clear and visible.

30/21 Chimney smoke here is making it about 30 feet overhead then going 90 degrees sideways. Inversion is low, haha.

I guess in my mind it wasn’t just colder with height through the column. Good rad night when MWN is warmest place around. Just went from 20F to 34F at 2,600ft as the inversion broke.

Yeah this was radiational delight even up to 4,000ft. Looks like the inversion was around 4,500ft.

There was WAA at 850mb. What are you talking about? The inversion was just up higher than it normally is but it’s the same “fake” properties.

23/18 outside up here at 9:30pm. The bottom has fallen out quickly this evening across New England with the departing high. 25/19 down in TAN is pretty chilly for this time of evening.