powderfreak

Luckily not too bad. Kitchen in the secondary restaurant up there, The Waffle. It’s all concrete around that space which contained it to like a 20’ x 20’ space and it snuffed itself out when crews reached it via snowcat. Thats what I gathered listening to the radio and Lamoille Dispatch.

From what I gathered on the radio was the fire was contained to the Waffle kitchen and had snuffed itself out by the time crews got up there via snowcat. Was lucky a Lift Mechanic was up there to spot it though. On the radio it sounded like heavy damage to the kitchen but that building is like a concrete bunker that contained it inside the walls of The Waffle. It’s all concrete around that space.

Damnit. Everything trends worse all the time, after it trends better. I had locked 10” in.

You get a run that jackpots an area... of course its going to get worse after that though. Like you aren't going to run 7 days of jackpot run after jackpot run.

That would give me some partial sunshine. Deal.

What happened to you? You sound like me now, questioning everything that could be fun weather, lol. You used to see 0.1” QPF and lock in 3-6” five days out.

Finally a widespread precipitation event.

Snow football brings back some childhood feelings. Like it fits the time of year perfectly.

It is dumping in high-def live TV there.

That’s a legit cam shot, looks like a plows gone through there on RT 100 in Ludlow. Okemo cam only shows 1” though. Those variations are certainly possible though given microscale effects.

Can see the cold and dynamic cooling working on the SW side of the system. 32F from BGM to AVP.

Yeah you’re gonna need 0.10-0.20” in the bucket each hour to get that low level warmth eradicated. It needs to vomit snow to cool it below 1000-1500ft later tonight.

Positive snow depth increase is the map to use with the mild low level airmass.

Another night, another mild one at elevation. The mid-slope climate is well mixed and in a mild month, you can’t hide from it like the valleys can. 28F in the valley and 39F in the base area. It’s cold where people live, but warm on the mountain. The inversions are things that skew public perception on snowmaking.

Its got a devastating ice storm vibe.

How were winters following quakes AND fires?

Stowe’s problem is needing to open top to bottom on 2,100ft vertical… From about the blue line and up is decent, but the bottom 500 vertical feet is the problem. So could ski 1500 verts but can’t open due to that last 500. So we are left searching for 1500ft snowmaking temps. I like to see -5C to -7C at 925mb for decent base area temps (26F or lower).

Suppression depression already?

It’s wild to think about as a kid you’d go into a restaurant and asked “Smoking or non-smoking”… that wasn’t all that long ago.

Both the GFS and EURO show more precipitation through Sunday (once its all said and done, several rounds for all) than many have seen in months. Is any event going to make up the deficit, no? Not even close. But it will be enough rain to end the fire threat and help some wells. The bar is low, even a half inch over a few days would be wetting. The Atlantic Ocean is still there and a good, slow moving system will be able to tap it. Haven't seen this chance of widespread rain in months. Low level jet off the Atlantic.

From that fire near Great Barrington, Mass…

That looks like it’s past “almost breaking loose” and more into the “oh f*ck” category lol.

Great point. I think weather models take on a superstar status when they hit (or appear to hit) on a tracked event. It is still fun to see which one is closest when it matters… but you’re right, it doesn’t mean anything statistically for future results.