nj2va

4 minutes ago, anotherman said:

Meanwhile, just over the border in York County…..nothing and a local forecast for 1-2.

There’s a watch there now 

I don’t care what the verification scores say for UK, it’s never right. 

Latest LWX map

2 minutes ago, Deck Pic said:

bleh

Apparently the C in CMC doesn’t stand for Cupid.

5 minutes ago, Deck Pic said:

No way we could ever know.  The idea of models beefing up QPF does seem to have some validity based on past experience

I’d wager on slight bump up vs down in QPF in the 24 hour lead in.  Even so, I’m not turning down 1-3” (paging RR).

Kuchera

LWX map out

Caps comeback LFG

16 minutes ago, poolz1 said:

Highs Fri upper 30s low 40s across the region with a dry airmass in place 8-12hrs before snow moves in.  It's not a total crap airmass to work with.  Just need to juice it up!

Yes, this is the opposite of the air mass leading into this morning's event.  

1 hour ago, nw baltimore wx said:

Since I didn’t get a full snow day, I’m starting happy hour early. The GFS is going all digital blue this evening.

About to head out to the Caps game.  It's Fat Tuesday, Lent starts tomorrow, and time to have fun tonight.  

1 minute ago, Deck Pic said:

Snow starts Friday PM.  We're like 3.5 days away.  If we wait until tomorrow, we'll barely have time for a 2nd thread.

Start it.  You should change your name back to zwtys for it for a real throwback.

Enjoyed the snow TV and parachute flakes that fell here for a bit.  Congrats to everyone who saw measurable snow!

1 minute ago, Fozz said:

It cracks me up how the 10:1 maps are the weenie maps this time while Kuchera is more realistic. 

It wouldn’t surprise me if LWX expanded the Warnings to the northern counties.  I’ll never complain when LWX plays catch up.

3z HRRR got rid of its 2z indigestion for DCA and came back to earth, more in line with other guidance.  Gotta love the run to run consistency ::hiccup::

Looks like its flipped over to snow at our house in McHenry based on the Ring cams.

7 minutes ago, snowfan said:

CWGs 9th update of the day calls for up to an inch or so in the colder areas. 

With 5 different forecast amounts with varying levels of % I’m sure too.  

HRRR would be a really fun morning.

3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

02z HRRR pummels DCA

Flips DC just before 12z.  Snowglobe rippage.  

1 minute ago, Deck Pic said:

They ran the 0z 1.33k over us  You can see the potential problem on the periphery.  It really looks like 60-90 min of snow for DC that might accumulate an inch

Realistically we’re probably looking at a mulch topper but I’m enjoying this last minute shift (3rd south shift of the year).  Also don’t mind looking out of the office tomorrow morning seeing snow TV.

At 12z, 850/925 are both -1 in DC but surface is 36 on the 12k. About 0.25-0.3” falls after 12z in DC.  Compared to where we were, NAM is a win for MBY.  

I like this run personally.

Down to 44.1 from a high of 48.0.

2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

It’s just the HRRR making us all share. Area wide 2”+ among friends would boost morale.

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Latest HRRRR

Snow Depth change

Kuchera

Maybe more south shifts in store…

2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

I'm waiting for the wxbell map. Pivotal has been far too brutal

Snow TV will be nice at least. 

1 minute ago, StormyClearweather said:

Ahem 

Brutal cutoff.