nj2va

He is risen! 

Tomer updated his site and changed his algorithm, especially for GEFS since it sucks at cloud cover.

52 minutes ago, baltosquid said:

Slight concern though... I hope the high doesn't trend too far north and let something sneak underneath into the lakes region... that's what I'd be most afraid of.

The cloud maps from the GFS apparently are terrible from what I was reading on X. Apparently the GEPS is the better product for cloud forecasts. But still a 9 days out so I’m just looking at 500 / MSLP maps. 
 

Cautiously optimistic for the NY/NE. 

3 hours ago, yoda said:

Who wants some more snow?  From this mornings AFD 

Mountain Snow (Thursday/Friday): The first in a series of cold
fronts crosses the area early Wednesday morning, as the base of the
cutoff mid-level low moves across PA/NY. Colder temperatures surge
into the Alleghenies by Wednesday afternoon, causing precip to
transition from rain to snow by Wednesday night. Favorable dynamics
and ample moisture could result in a prolonged period of upslope
mountain snow. Marginal temperatures likely limit accumulations
through Wednesday evening, then better chance for snow to stick
Thursday into Friday. The GFS in particular is much higher than the
other guidance, showing significant snow accumulations late in the
week. At the very least 1-3", possibly up to 4-5", of accumulating
snow is possible at the higher elevations. Light snow could fall as
east as the Blue Ridge/Catoctins

Gross

This is the best this has looked for WNY 

Yes to the sprawling High Pressures over the east.

12 hours ago, pazzo83 said:

it's fun to watch all these teams play close games just to earn a chance to get blown out by UConn by 30.

If Illinois can stay hot from the field, they have a shot.  But the guy who bet $250K this week for UCONN to win is closest to safe money you can get.  

38 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

What a washout of a week on tap starting late Sunday. 0z euro says 2-4” through the metro area.

Ugh. At least it doesn’t look like it’ll be raining for Easter Sunday mass in the morning. 

UCONN is in another league. Dominant. 

27 minutes ago, Jebman said:

Mammoth and Palisades are both under the gun for heavy snow again!

It's been snowin and blowin all day!

https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/main-lodge

https://www.palisadestahoe.com/mountain-information/webcams#tab=palisades

Snow will pour down hard into late Sunday night!

Average high in DC is now 60. Bye bye winter. I’m ready for spring. 

-10 on the day vs avg high (60)

1 hour ago, baltosquid said:

Cautiously optimistic about WNY with the ridging starting to show up on the ensembles, getting inside 300 and got all 3 votes from EPS, GEFS and GEPS.

Will be in Niagra Falls Canada so I'm rooting for a fat ol' ridge to park over itself right over the WNY area.

On 3/26/2024 at 10:44 AM, MN Transplant said:

Tomer set up an eclipse ensemble page:  http://arctic.som.ou.edu/tburg/products/realtime/eclipse/

I liked seeing the decrease in members with heavy cloud cover for the Buffalo area in his tool when I checked this morning.

19 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

Caps playing some good hockey right now

Huge 2 points tonight!  

OMG, the Francis Scott Key bridge collapsed overnight after a ship hit it. 

https://wtop.com/baltimore/2024/03/key-bridge-in-baltimore-collapses-after-hitting-large-boat/

Boom, Big East is 6-0 in the tourney. 

Time to unpin. 
 

Let’s go 70s!

The 8th is starting to come into ensemble view.

We’ll be in Niagara Falls Canada so give me that ridging over the east please!  

UVA proving why they should have never been in the tournament. Seton Hall, St John’s or Providence should be playing tonight. 

With how many bid stealers there have been this year, there’s going to be a fair number of teams that get left out of the tournament that deserve to be in.  

Spectacular day.  Cherry Blossoms are in full bloom in our neighborhood.  I’d take these + departures all month long in March.

Looks like awful weather the rest of the month.  Yippee.

UConn vs Marquette in the big east championship is gonna be good. 

15 hours ago, pazzo83 said:

lmao mid 70s again today with filtered sunshine

I’ll take more of these please. Spectacular weather.