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ChescoWx

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Everything posted by ChescoWx

  1. K maps will work best in a case like this with maybe less than 10:1 for some folks to start with increasing ratios....
  2. How about some 18z maps....NAM the lowest and Oh Canada the highest....let the games begin! Personally I ride the Euro....
  3. Latest NWS Graphic....shaved a bit off Chesco with the exception of the far Northwest
  4. While not likely...could tomorrow's event crack The Top 25 snowstorms in Chester and SE Berks? I have witnessed 10 of the top 25
  5. While not likely could this event make the Top 25.....Here are the Top 25 Chester and SE Berks County January Snowstorms. I have seen 10 of the top 25....you??
  6. They will convert spots with more than 5" expected to warnings later and downgrade to WWA for those not meeting the Winter Storm Warning criteria
  7. How bout some thunder snow per Steve DiMartino at NYNJPA Weather?
  8. 12z NAM with more cold but less snow for all
  9. The HRRR gets the 850mb temps to freezing all the way up to the southern LHV
  10. Could be.....just a wee bit out of the range I count the NAM as accurate.....
  11. If this were to be real.....it would follow the usual relative climo sweet spots that go from Eastern Lanco - NW Chesco - Berks to Southern LHV
  12. My bad and Wrong! snowier at 7pm.....models are fun!!
  13. The 0z 3k NAM looks a bit drier at 4pm.....than 18z
  14. If it wasn't for the relative consistent CMC I would agree....let's see what the NAM which me thinks will not be too far of a drift from the HRRR shows...
  15. The first evening model 0z HRRR has an extremely sharp modeled snow vs ice pellets/freezing rain signal that would make a big difference from say Philadelphia vs. Northwest Chester/Berks/Lehigh Counties. With no more than 2 inches at Philly with plenty of non snow mixing to a solid 7" to 10" across NW Chesco up thru the LHV and points northeast. Not a forecast but something to keep an eye on.
  16. Not saying I buy it but Dr NO has been Mr Right so far this winter....we shall see!! I expect a big bogus NAM run at either 0z or 6z that will get the weenies rolling!!
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