Juliancolton

Snow/grauple squall whitened the ground here earlier, sufficient to count as 0.1". Actually had to scrape my windshield, annoyingly enough.

Yeah, it looked impressive on radar but thankfully the lack of instability kept the strongest winds overhead. Still managed to lose a 40+ foot white pine limb near the house, and one of my patio heaters went flying and got banged up.

The roar of the wind is almost deafening just off the deck. Could be a bit chaotic when that squall line gets here.

Cool stuff! It's interesting to see how much ground still needs to be made up to get to winter/spring levels.

Pond is overflowing again after less than an inch of rain. Water tables sure are high.

Goats eat everything in sight. Also kind of aggressive sometimes. The geese of the mammal world.

Shame about all the chemtrails

Hah, this is the only reason I won't be mowing from here on out even though it definitely will need it in short order. Closing in on a half mile of extension cords down already.

It's too hot.

The whole thing worked pretty counterintuitively here. Dutchess had five early voting sites and each one had a multiple-hour wait at all hours on all days. Roads shut down, illegal parking all over, the whole nine yards. Today, when you have to vote in your designated precinct, wait time is zero at all but a couple sites.

The curse of early snow is real. No question in my mind.

Been pretty much constant snow and/or grauple all morning, occasionally ramping up in intensity for a few moments.

Yeah, with the frost from freezing fog, plenty of snow left in the trees imby, and honest-to-goodness bluebird skies, this was just a gorgeous winter morning. Top-5 even if you completely set aside the date.

That was fun. Rather chilly Halloween on tap - a jacket is certainly called for on top of your togas and sexy nurse uniforms. The NAM only gets up to 43F at POU... that would be the third-coldest high for the date. Record low of 18F is not in jeopardy at the airport. Not sure what to think about radiating prospects, as the GFS and 12z NAM decoupled the favored sports quickly and efficiently, allowing for lows in the teens. HRRR and 18z NAM keep winds, and consequential temperatures, up throughout the night.

2011-12 and 2015-16 would each like a word with you. I had a tradition, when nobody was looking, of throwing the first snowball of the year at the dilapidated 19th-century flagpole near my driveway, from the back patio. About 75 feet. If I hit it, it was going to be a big winter. TS Isaias brought it down back in August and I didn't think much of it (one less thing to impede straight lawnmower swaths), but today, without thinking, I scooped up some snow, turned toward where it stood, and...

I'm resigned to this being the case. ENSO always bode poorly for us this year anyway, so this seals it for me. Then again, my pessimism this morning proved unfounded so maybe I'm best ignored. edit: ..."bade poorly"? Boded? Someone fetch an English teacher

Sounds like a plan!

LOL, I was just reading "puking" and "wrecked" in the upstate thread when you said this. Have some standards. 38F here, this probably isn't gonna happen imby.

Next time a neighbor accuses me of neglecting my lawn, I'm just going to show them my new irrigation channel. That's next-level suburb'ing.

Major levee breach event ongoing in the front yard, seek higher ground

Well, the novelty of this rain event has fully worn off and I wish for it to stop.

Yeah, leaf reports would help. The Highlands around Storm King/Breakneck still had extensive coverage a couple days ago, but the weather the last couple days certainly could have changed that.

OK, I need to figure out my weenie hike tomorrow. Storm King probably offers the best snowliage potential on account of the leaves near the river don't fall until about MLK Day. Stissing is closest to me and therefore probably the safest trip with (presumably?) untreated roads, and is even a tad higher than Storm King. Overlook or North Point will see the best accums, but again, those roads could get dicey.

Nice halo around the moon tonight, sure looks like snow. The evening models so far have certainly trended back toward the potential for accumulations. A little bit of elevation will go a long way, especially if you still believe in the GFS warm BL bias.