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snowfan

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Everything posted by snowfan

  1. We are counting on you, randy, to bring this home. Last storm flopped for many because you bailed on us.
  2. From LWX KEY MESSAGE 3... Wintry precipitation threats are possible early next week. Following a dry weekend, shortwave troughing pivoting to the north will push a surface cold front across the region on Monday. As the trough pivots over the Great Lakes towards the Northeast, moisture originating from the Pacific approaches the area. With the event being toward the end of the forecast period, there remains a good deal of spread within the model guidance. While global guidance agrees on precipitation during the day, the discrepancies are with precipitation type. Marginal temperatures in the 30s during the day will drop into the mid to upper 20s overnight. The 00z GFS has snow staying along the MD/PA border with those farther south getting a mix of sleet/snow. The 00z ECMWF/Canadian has primarily snow across the area. Chances for a winter weather event remain low given the model discrepancies, but will certainly continue to monitor in subsequent forecast shifts.
  3. So the global suite seems to be onboard for the moment with the lead wave early next week giving this sub snow. 6Z GFS is stronger with the cold push and as a result, better wrt snow outcomes.
  4. End of cold pattern storm. We've seen it many times.
  5. Highest amount in the upslope so far is 22.5" near holly river state park. Red Creek near canaan at 16" earlier this evening.
  6. Really need the gfs to be correct just to create a disastrous Thursday afternoon rush hour. Its been too long since we had one of those.
  7. BWI let me down. Otherwise this was spot on. https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/62613-222-23-theres-no-way-storm-part-2/?do=findComment&comment=8026870
  8. Nice to see that many on the northern side verified warning criteria, even if on the low end.
  9. They need to get rid of color scale on the maps until there's more complete mesonet coverage. It makes the interpolation of totals messy and misleading.
  10. The localized nature of the enhanced banding was evident on the drive to work. An inch + more in suitland than at my place, which is very unusual.
  11. My folks in southern York county just sent a deck Pic
  12. 18" report in Lewes. Damn. And that was a few hours ago.
  13. 12/5/25: 1.5” 12/14/25: 2.25” 1/17/26: T 1/18/26: .25” 1/24 - 1/25: 9” of snow and sleet 2/5 - 2/6: .25” 2/22: 2.25” Season Total: 15.5”
  14. Just better off to ignore. The political board is still closed so some need to kill their time here.
  15. This board is currently overloading gpt with “explain Norlan troughs to me like I’m a dummy”
  16. Kids these days. I grew up in Baltimore city and would walk halfway across the city w no coat in pouring sleet to get to Hamilton middle.
  17. And here is said band. Sorry didnt see this meso before.
  18. The band orienting itself S/SW from near annapolis and down the 2 and 301 corridors is doing its thing.
  19. Surfaces caving imby. Fatties falling from the sky.
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