No offense @powderfreak I know some of the typical posters get reactional, but I definitely had a concern for 6z...and still do knowing how these work.
Well my reaction and others from the 6z run was more about seeing the inevitable ticks north that happen with these 99.5% of the time. I don't think it was an overreaction since all guidance had this. And one 12z GFS run won't really change my mind lol.
I was hoping the PV would at least “help” with significant moves north, but 6z euro was a sizable move. North ticks inevitable though with these, but hopefully a limit for those near the MA/NH border on north.
The height tendencies at 500 have been to dampen out and lower heights across New England. Multiple runs of this too. That will help negate (doesn’t mean we can’t tick it north final 48hrs) the big push north we sometimes see with these things. It also means it probably won’t be a juicy system.