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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Then moves almost due north from there. That would not be good.
  2. The presentation (spiral loo etc) is good, but lacks deep convection. I would not go higher than 85kts.
  3. Yeah, I agree. I see their reasoning, but I'm not sure how I feel about that call.
  4. It will also depend on where that stalls, but yeah for sure the storm surge impact in Tampa is probably the most pressing in this whole thing.
  5. Guidance did have some drier air 500-300mb in NW side, but outflow looks real good and doesn't show that tell tale sign of something may be wrong quite yet. Guidance is real bullish on RI...but for the time being drier air gives me a little pause.
  6. Eh, if this stalls and weakens...not sure if this would be all that exciting to be honest.
  7. I love how the spread is increasing.
  8. So now the euro goes west of TPA and then curves NW.
  9. Although euro now stalls and goes towards Far East panhandle so that’s a change too when it brought it over the peninsula. As usual both adjust.
  10. Looks like Jay’s night of the tors gave me just under .25”
  11. Kind of stalls and weakens a bit too. Flaccid solution.
  12. Well as we get closer, looks like the euro got this one.
  13. Cat 2 is NBd generally. Building codes now will laugh it off. The issue would be surge perhaps in Tampa should it make landfall near or just NW.
  14. It’s really not that bad. It’s had a ton of wins with tropicals around the globe.
  15. It’s had a lot of fails with various things this summer. I was the biggest euro humper out there, but man I feel like it’s just not the same.
  16. I love the slobbering over the euro. Can’t wait for weenies to see a 980 low tucked into MVY only to get rug pulled out.
  17. I don’t care about day 10 storms. It’s inside day 5. If this goes to Tampa I’ll b glad to be knighted by the euro. I’m not forecasting so happily observing from the outside.
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