CoastalWx

Waters a few degrees cooler won’t help areas south of the coastal front like in this storm. Nor does AN SSTs determine nuances like ridges folding over AK and causing a s/w trough to dip into the Gulf Of Alaska from the east. Maybe borderline areas near 32 in this storm it may matter, but that’s not the problem in this pattern.

Yeah you can see the low retrograde a bit into early January. That would be a change to what we have now. More of a +PNA. We would need Canada to cool a bit first.

Yeah some just don’t catch that. I’ve seen that too. I was more arguing that the 6hr method imo is the more truthful way to gauge snowfalls.

Next week is funny. That s/w trough loops down into the CONUS and then loops back up. I think I made a post about that a week ago when one of the op runs showed a cutter. It just comes right down and then right back up lol.

The 6 hr method around here doesn’t make a huge difference. A lot of the storms involve wind and helps to compact. I haven’t noticed a huge difference doing both methods. I could see differences appear in the softly fallen fluff though. Like when Jspin measures a dendrite and calls it 0.4” But, I also think it makes for more true measuring because when it’s snowing an inch an hour all day and you have 6” to snow for it, that’s not really truthful either. That’s when the 6hr method comes in handy and more truthful imo.

I hope, because that’s inches of rain. Sucks.

Choo choo!

Close them tight. Another terrible December.

Maybe VT escapes with least impacts? Maine is soaked with rain as it stands now.

It looks awful up north.

How much

Congrats on the rain.

It sucks.

We’ve been through this before. Getting a 50-100 mile Snow shield is harder than a low going from ALB to Detroit with basically the same outcome. Torch. The effects of a low whether it’s in Albany or Detroit are the same.

Saying “hello” to Eek?

Maybe 1 or 2 chances of something before it goes to shit for a bit. No idea about January.

Yeah. This was some shit luck with nuances for sure. The only thing you could argue was last Sunday, but that was for a relatively small area geographically. I will say within about 10 days Scooter caution flags did start to show up. Sure I suppose you could argue they always do, but when those ridges fold over AK like a floppy boob and push troughing into the Gulf of Alaska from the east, never a good sign.

Still massive cutter

-EPO is still cutter risk. Not sure why some always think it’s so good. You want to prevent cutters? Get a ridge over the west coast/Rockies.

Euro I think may be “less” cutterish….if that makes any sense? Whatever that will mean lol.

Cut him a break, he’s been defunded.

Electric Pony?

This one is cutting on gfs. Let’s get 70mph srlys as a compromise.

Glad the higher elevations got a nice dumping of man snow. Good for the ski resorts.

It’s in our DNA as Mets.