CoastalWx

Just pointing out what could be reality. But if you wanna live in fantasyland, you guys all go ahead.

The ensembles show messiness too. Why is that hard to understand and entertain. It’s totally reasonable and much more realistic than those runs yesterday.

On a nice hard pack

Looks like sleet well past Kevin on hrrr.

I’m thinking more of messy systems potential. That is easily supported and I expect at least one or two of those over the next 15 days. Call me crazy for not buying 40” of snow in two weeks.

I look every day and talk about whatever I see. We all know the upside, let’s talk about why people shouldn’t be slapping dongs together and have them wrap around each other like a pretzel.

I know it’s Friday, but booze this early is not healthy.

This isn’t Kevin behavior. Just interpreting guidance. Why can’t someone raise concern? It’s not like I’m torch tiger pointing out a trough in the plains on the 384 hr gfs op.

some of these short waves are digging pretty far down and then bouncing north due to the southeast ridge. I can totally see some of those depictions. Are they correct? I don’t know, but completely realistic imo. We’ve had all types of scenarios last few years when everyone was claiming this or that will save us only to find a way for these waves to dig into the plains and create messy scenarios. Also, these air masses are not arctic. Low 30s for highs with sun? Only thing saving us is high pressure trying to anchor in.

I am the caution king for a reason. Let’s hope it’s not as messy.

That’s all it is a concern. I didn’t cancel anything, but people need to keep things in check.

3 years of melts have led to an accumulation of 40” of snow during that time. Just saying.

It gets close from BDR to HVN.

My issue is these messy systems and I’m not BSing. It’s a pattern that can totally support that. Good luck if Tuesday whiffs.

You heard it here first.

EPS too

for a mix?

It will be a very uniform system I think from New Bedford to the Berks.

Looks like it could fluff pound a few hours perhaps near rt 2 into SNH in those areas worried about QPF. And then another area with CF enhancement near KBOS and adjacent N-S shore perhaps before dawn into mid morning Sunday.

Should be a nice regional event finally.

I guess this is what happens when you play with fire in these setups. But my nerves are shot after 3 years of dealing with ptype issues. I’ll enjoy Saturday night and hopefully Tuesday.

https://www.instagram.com/filmaesthete/reel/CtoszRmOQak/?hl=en

Blame the models not me.

At least we can watch Mansfield stake make a run at 100” while we dig out storm drains to prevent flooding.

I don’t know. If those s/w’s amp like that it’s gonna be messy.