CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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That is the Molly I need. Sure hope it's not at the 2 dollar drafts and 25 cent wing happy hour.
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It's stronger. Better inflow, conveyor belts..all of it.
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It's an interesting system. Almost two distinct jacks. One with real strong WAA...look at that 850 thermal gradient on the NAM. The other from mid level goodies near H7 weak WF.
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I will say even beyond the ensembles it looks good. So we’re gonna definitely have chances, I wasn’t trying to be negative earlier. I was just entertaining the idea that we could have some not so favorable set ups… But whatever I guess we just enjoy what comes.
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I hope I don’t eat these words, but I think you and I are good for 6 inch plus
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I can’t tell you how refreshing it is not to worry about precipitation types. A touch of sleet isn’t gonna kill me, but you know what I mean.
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Sign me up for the hrrr. Just a touch of sleet and a parting CJ.
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Given how my three-quarter inch of crud from yesterday did with overnight temps hovering near freezing and temps well above freezing with sun today, I would absolutely entertain some rain and mix into the pack to make it meaty. I just don’t want 2 inches of snow followed by an inch and a half of rain and temps in the 50s lol.
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No it certainly may not be, but to me that looks like the more likely outcome. Trust me I’m all set with pics of nude skiers in quads or pics of teethless French women riding skidoos in East Moosescrotum Maine. I hope it’s more region wide, but be prepared for those visions above.
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Then make winter great again. I hate talking about the other side of the coin, but can’t ignore. I am hoping that what happened in the previous two systems happens again, but the systems next week are much more robust.
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Yeah CF stuff. Maybe this will break my 6" streak.
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I'm doing the board a very good service of discussing the possibilities. This is reality. You want my gut? Tuesday maybe 1-3, Thursday a mess and next weekend a mess. Latitude favored. I see nothing wrong with that outlook and it was hinted at last night. Sure it could trend colder, but do you want to discuss only cold and snow, or actually entertain completely valid situations.
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I think you're in a good spot. SE NH from near PSM to Newburyport may get decent CF enhancement for a time on some guidance.
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That's why I said we need next week to work out. Look I get nobody wants to hear it, but it could be a regional war thing internal to New England lol.
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GFS is good all around which has been said numerous times
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So you think the GFS shows jack at your place?
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Nah, fire up the rood collapse thread!
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He sure does.
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Just saying where the GFS has that sweet spot. That's how it looks. You'll get 3-6 or 4-8 and slot a bit.
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Scooter knows.
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Ensembles for that time (GEFS) looked suppressed.
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GFS looks pretty good. Definitely has the look of a jack route two into southern New Hampshire.
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The 3K NAM has a tongue of H7 fronto well ahead and north of the main low. It's solution alone doesn't seem outrageous. South of that, you are at the mercy of WAA and hence the more constricted QPF field. Is it right, not sure. But we had something like this in early Jan 2022. There was a narrow but intense band of S+ shown by the HRRR over BOS and just south. It dropped like 4" near BOS before the main stuff even came in. It was pounding here with nothing 5 miles to my south.
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Lets get 1-3" and 8" for the lakes region.
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Maybe it will? Running now.
