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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. That county is surrounded by advisories. Plenty areas there will see frost.
  2. Why is GYX leaving out that whole area in SNH from the frost advisory? That doesn’t make sense.
  3. Agree. Much better than last year. Stein ftw?
  4. Up in the lakes region and it’s close to peak I’d say.
  5. He’s gonna be like Rodney Dangerfield in the boat scene in Caddyshack.
  6. It only takes something rightly timed.
  7. Like I said, seasonable next week. Then we cold shot after before a mild up to end the month. Looks great.
  8. I mean in October, if you can’t appreciate sitting outside grabbing a bite to eat and a drink in nice weather…… You deserve to live in someone’s basement locked up for eternity.
  9. I do like the cold shots to give it that Autumnal feel, but I mean overall…..nothing wrong with mild weather.
  10. I’ll go again. Will gave me a great tour of western Worcester and got to see the terrain ftw. My friend used to live near the airport at ORH and did very well at 920’
  11. I don’t see the angst of 70+ days. Given we are bent over on energy prices and it can’t snow, why not enjoy some mild days? I love these days. It’s perfect out.
  12. Still 70 outside. Finally our turn to shake our asses in front of northern New England and enjoy a great late summers day.
  13. I haven’t noticed anything special. Maybe I’ll have to drive around.
  14. Maybe November? Just throwing the idea out there to plan.
  15. Lets talk about how Methuen will be porked over drinks and nachos
  16. 80 degrees when I tell that Ginxy please......
  17. I have no idea. This is the email I got. Not sure if it's BS or what. I am writing this message to keep you informed regarding the oil market and the current situation. Currently most of the major suppliers are reporting that they are out, or will be out shortly, of their supply of home heating oil. This is why we are experiencing such a rapid increase in pricing. The hurricane is being blamed as the acute reason for this outage. The oil barges had to be shut in to safe harbors to wait out the storm and the in-climate weather conditions that preceded and followed Hurricane Ian. This delay has led to the local supply outage. Some of the suppliers are reporting they will be resupplied in the next day or two; but that leaves the market without supply until resupply occurs. I would like to point out that many suppliers are not surprised by this predicament; they have been fearful of the current conditions for some time. One main reason is the state of backwardation the heating oil commodities are in currently. Backwardations means that future months are less valuable than more forward months; under these conditions suppliers tend to run at lower levels to avoid losing value at the change of the calendar page. Then when an event such as a hurricane hits because they are hand to mouth on supply, they end up running out. This happened back in April/May, currently happening, and they predict this is how the winter will be going forward. Which means that these events could and will be likely to happen again. If you find yourself with low supply it is probably best to fill your tank when you have the chance. I cannot tell you prices will get better or that they will get worse; I can tell you that you need heating oil and you do not want to find yourself without a way to get it! I do not want to set a panic and this immediate issue could be solved in the next day or two but I do feel you need to be informed. This event has led us to change the terms and conditions on our site so please review them prior to placing an order. We will do everything in our control to make sure we get you supply and at the best price we can; please know that this issue is down stream of us and we are doing all we can to deal with it appropriately
  18. I heard something about backwardization. Basically the months coming up are valued more than the months beyond that timeframe....if that makes any sense. So as a result, the supply went down. Now Hurricane Ian screwed up barge traffic to deliver oil which helped create a sudden price spike.
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