CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Because it gets a shot of energy off the pacific and the blocking is less than what the gfs shows. So you get a chilly rain.
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I don’t mind suppressed vs primary into the Great Lakes on the models. Let’s compromise.
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The pack starts
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It's nice to look at the extended and not see the deepest blues at 500mb caressing Tijuana.
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Metal can conduct heat or radiate heat away from itself. It's why car surfaces can get frost on them when the air temp is a few degrees above freezing. That would only occur at night obviously.
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Pretty big changes after that storm as well. With no real coherent Nina signal on the tropics...my guess is model volatility will be high.
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Western US is different on the GFS suite vs euro too. Looks like euro guidance makes the trough go negative quicker too.
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I thought the GFS did fairly well inside day 2 or so. It did sort of show more of a weaker and disorganized look. Euro was dumping over a foot from PF to northern NH. I thought Euro was too wet at first, then it went dry here for whatever reason.
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We need a term for that when weenies purposely do that. He's been called out about that. Weenieational cooling.
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Great look there.
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I would say so. I am hoping the s/w sharpens up a bit more to allow a broader chance of -SN...but it may not have enough time. We'll see.
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The nrn half of the band, as the NWS disco notes. That's where it will be most intense. Probably near the airport and close to the shoreline. It will be nowcasting for sure.
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Yeah when Tip and I were talking, I noted that this wasn't the classic warm tongue event above 800mb where it does well in. It just missed the mark overall on this one for whatever reason. HRRR did well and showed the good initial thump...and it was consistent with each run.
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This looks like an epic 24 hrs there give or take during the peak.
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It's ridiculous how that area near exit 18 is the magic zone.
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Quick peak on GFS shows chance of snow shwrs/squalls maybe Sunday aftn?
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Looks Cold and dry. Maybe we see flurries. Strong s/w but I feel like its Too Far East to have much of an effect.
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BTV getting smoked.
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Meh
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Warm ground!
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Winni looks nice based on webcams
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That storm on some models. May have to watch later Thursday into Friday next week. Hopefully after that there’s enough blocking for me to hop on board the Ginxy ho train and do some pole dancing.
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Yep. Just a taste.
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I always look ahead. Hopefully some violence near T day before it relaxes.
