CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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We all saw that. But bias correction is more like C-1" Did I say no snow?
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BFS initialized by IPA?
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To be fair it does happen...I guess color me surprised that's all.
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I see. Good luck!
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I think it's more of the pattern look. I was shocked to see the EPS changes starting so early and growing so large in the 6-10 day. Not even a sizeable change...just a complete flip out west.
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Its QPF was all over the place. Ended up being flaccid as the GFS showed.
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On what model?
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Yeah hopefully. Some guidance has shown some detached streamers coming by in certain areas too.
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Meanwhile, a rare SW-WSW flow may give the islands and outer cape some ocnl mixed ra/sn or perhaps straight shsn tomorrow into Sunday. That's pretty cool.
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Meanwhile, I don't think I could mentally handle someone 10 miles away from me getting 55" while I get 5". Something violent would happen.
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Losing a pet hurts, sorry to hear Steve.
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On the EPS, those changes started earlier. To see those changes on the EPS in a week is not common.
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There will be
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Nah it’s not a POS, but Christ that was a huge change.
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EPS is absurd. I remember when it was good inside 10 days. That change was ridiculous.
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She ain’t what she used to be.
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Hopefully not treating clients like he does on here.
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Because it gets a shot of energy off the pacific and the blocking is less than what the gfs shows. So you get a chilly rain.
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I don’t mind suppressed vs primary into the Great Lakes on the models. Let’s compromise.
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The pack starts
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It's nice to look at the extended and not see the deepest blues at 500mb caressing Tijuana.
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Metal can conduct heat or radiate heat away from itself. It's why car surfaces can get frost on them when the air temp is a few degrees above freezing. That would only occur at night obviously.
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Pretty big changes after that storm as well. With no real coherent Nina signal on the tropics...my guess is model volatility will be high.
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Western US is different on the GFS suite vs euro too. Looks like euro guidance makes the trough go negative quicker too.
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I thought the GFS did fairly well inside day 2 or so. It did sort of show more of a weaker and disorganized look. Euro was dumping over a foot from PF to northern NH. I thought Euro was too wet at first, then it went dry here for whatever reason.
