CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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FV3 wants to bury everyone to the canal. LOL.
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NAM tried to get an inv trough migrating from west to east late Saturday.
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Bar is low. Again I see no reason for upside at the moment. Unless the globals convince me. Maybe for us, Saturday aftn offers an inch additional.
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You look fine regardless so I just assume that lol. SOS here.
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3K is ugly too.
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Only thing I can see is maybe a better CCB perhaps like I mentioned earlier. lets see.
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Primary stronger and further west.
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Only hope is that maybe the low will slide east more Saturday morning if I am interpreting H5. But meh.
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NAM still sucks.
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Fwiw I thought 6z eps was a bit better for sne.
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Hey I wish to God to be wrong. If I am, wolfie can eat me like he would a ground hog.
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Earlier runs were way too paltry on QPF.
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So maybe he gets a colder rain. What a win.
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LOL. Whatever you want to believe. I’ll go euro and nam for this one until I’m proven otherwise.
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Exactly. That’s a bold move from the gfs last 24-36 hrs.
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I don’t see that.
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It’s not caving. I’d say gfs made some nudges north too. Maybe it’s slightly moving toward it, but I’m tossing it for now.
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Yep agreed.
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Temps in ern areas are borderline as well. Again another lousy antecedent airmass. At least a chunk of this is at night.
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Was just noting that. There’s also a blob of convection offshore that may factor in in terms of the low tucking into LI or offshore.
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Gfs had like 9”. That ain’t happening. I saw all guidance show something there.
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I want a colder move by all.
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I mean in the sense that they are warmer. Not necessarily all in on one particular piece of guidance or the other. Basically 12z has to prove to me that there is a reason to lean colder. Antecedent airmass sucks. It’s not that cold. So, we’ll need a further south look.
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It’s tough for me to buy the GFS. Still lean more to NAM/Euro. I’ll need today to change that.
