They'll be stuff on the "cool" front, but it looked active north of the WF on a lot of guidance. Some guidance also has stuff late morning and aftn on the LLJ in SNE. Kind of a convoluted setup.
Everyone drops their pants over warm water...but tropicals are fragile. There is so much more that goes into their development. The environment around them needs to be conducive for development. If it is not,...flaccidity.
When did CPOC designate it Nino? I feel like we were getting Nino conditions a few months ago, but yeah the numbers this year also rapidly changed around March.