CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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I came to bring the rain?
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NH and ME. Ski areas, trails, all of them.
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Christmas miracle on gfs op?
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Water rescues for Alex?
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May take a little longer for areas south of New England and perhaps near the coast.
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NAM gone wild Sunday night.
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18z gfs went flaccid
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That’s pretty much our only hope. EPS is somewhat interesting.
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Euro with a warm core low at the end of the run. We 12/24/94.
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Kevin teetering
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I also was not assuming 4K.
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At least you guys are making the best of it at your locale.
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It's a rare look though. We had one in 1994. All rain to Stowe in that one.
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Love the all rain coastal track on the GFS. LOL.
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6z GFS pretty wild at BOS on BUFKIT
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Gfs might be an hour or damaging west winds, especially east.
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6z gfs really goes wild with that low Sunday night. Euro is rather mundane.
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Yeah it’s stein and anything we hope to come would be after.
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I’d say overall it’s unfavorable, but the caveat is a well timed event could work like the 6z gfs. But overall I’m keeping things in check with expectations until Christmas or so.
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I agree with Kev we may have to rewrite Christmas songs. We brought these dews to you ba rum ba bum bum…….. I’ve got no snow for you ba rum ba bum bum……
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Yeah saw that Will. Back to KaKa. LOL. Hopefully it shakes out a little better than that look. But I’m not really worrying at the moment.
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Yeah we need to sort of flush out the crap and cool it off a bit. That should happen late month. My guess is the pattern flip won’t necessarily be very cold, but offer more snow chances as a whole with an active look.
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GEFS are definitely active, but marginal airmasses. Might be an in and up look.
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I get the moisture aspect in the tropics being a driver. We see that with the MJO and warm waters near the equator. That helps drive the hemispheric pattern...not a warm pool in the NPAC that has an avg temp of 52F instead of 50F. But the poles are warming faster which may help offset a bit? Seems like recently we were hearing the Jet Stream is getting more wavy. But that's how science works. Continuous thought and testing and going back to the theory.
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ninja'd
