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CoastalWx

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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. CoastalWx
    So a tad NE of 00z near our latitude. Probably a hair faster and a hair east.
  2. CoastalWx
    Like clockwork
  3. CoastalWx
    Nope. And a tick east of 00z too.
  4. CoastalWx
    Nah looks flaccid
  5. CoastalWx
    6z Euro will not be like 18z that’s for sure.
  6. CoastalWx
    Coming right for you. Enjoy more rain.
  7. CoastalWx
    Same
  8. CoastalWx
    60+ river east! The wind field will expand, but I don’t see that intense transition near us.
  9. CoastalWx
    Nah just go all out. Don’t be so negative.
  10. CoastalWx
    Gustav was a much more potent transitions than this will be. This still have warm core characteristics right up to our latitude.
  11. CoastalWx
    Looks like a flooder near and north of 84 over the next couple of hours.
  12. CoastalWx
    Yep agree. I am not ruling out that it comes closer, I just think given everything I see it may tick more east than what the current euro shows. That’s all. Don’t shoot me lol.
  13. CoastalWx
    I feel like my comment yesterday is working out fine. GFS too Far East and euro too far west. In the end a compromise
  14. CoastalWx
    18z euro was coming NW. it was clear to many. Yep the jog west surprised me, but again, this lacks the big features imo for a big region wide impact. Could it happen? I suppose, but I give it a small chance. For the record I haven’t been far off from the NHC so you can bash them too. I don’t forecast with weenie emotions. I’ve been doing this for many many years.
  15. CoastalWx
    The tropicals and 6z gfs look good to me. 40-50 gusts near BOS. Perhaps 60 cape. Period of rain on coast. Definitely more than I thought two days ago. But I think 18z euro was too amped.
  16. CoastalWx
    I do. Pretty clear 18z was coming NW.
  17. CoastalWx
    Even for you it’s no big deal.
  18. CoastalWx
    There’s not much convection, so I don’t see how latent is viable. Also models take that into consideration, this isn’t 1999 anymore. GFS did move west (not 200 miles) but euro probably too tucky as usual. That’s just my thoughts. We see this happen many times. A compromise.
  19. CoastalWx
    I actually like the Gfs solution. It’s probably the most realistic
  20. CoastalWx
    It’s already east from it’s crazy 18z solution.
  21. CoastalWx
    It will tick east
  22. CoastalWx
    Looks like 6Z Gfs also stabilize or perhaps when a tick east.
  23. CoastalWx
    Probably ticks east
  24. CoastalWx
    Tropical models ticked west but 00z euro stabilized. I wonder if we do see things tick east. We’ll have to see what guidance does today.
  25. CoastalWx
    That wound be an unusual wind direction. NW gales.
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