If it fails can always bump it. I actually thought this week would be warmer like 10 days ago, but the pattern flip really allowed these troughs to dig in.
Tropics look dead. Even with favorable forcing it’s quiet. I think dust is an issue currently. But as we head into September, I’m worried shear increases overall. So I’m not really bullish at the moment. Doesn’t mean a storm or two can’t pop over the next 2-3 weeks, but nothing looks too exciting currently.