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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. I think for anything near the pike we’d want to see this whole synoptic precip shield modeled further north. Hopefully we see that on tonight’s models. Otherwise 10kts of 850 inflow won’t cut it.
  2. It wasn't insurmountable though. 1-3 to the pike wouldn't need much QPF.
  3. I'm fine...just having fun. Hoping for Ineedsnow's 6-10"
  4. I just think of March 01 as what could have been.
  5. Slightly better on GFS...but not much to show for it.
  6. Hopefully the nam is a trend. But as Will said, Bruce Willis and his dry air is a flag too.
  7. I’m actually more curious about March. I think we’ll need a good March too.
  8. My reasoning is just based on what I see. Trust me I’m not a guy who always goes with persistence. I’m just calling it as I see it. I know very well. February can be good in an El Niño And as I said, I’m not saying it’s a crap month, I’m just a little unsure how it shakes out.
  9. That wasn’t directed at you at all. I just don’t have much confidence in February. It doesn’t mean I expect it to be a crap month, I just don’t know. I don’t really see any signs of blocking at least to start out February. I was hoping to see that, but doesn’t look like it for the time being. So, if the Pacific goes to crap, I don’t think it bodes well for us. Just have to hope that we keep a decent Pacific.
  10. I’m not gone. I feel like I’m one of the few that’s actually being objective. Everybody else has left the ranch.
  11. It might start out cold, but I have no confidence in the month.
  12. I see nothing exciting going forward.
  13. Just under 9 inches on the season. I do hope February works out.
  14. Too bad Friday is cirrus with a few flurries.
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