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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. If we relax for a couple of weeks it still could be an AN month for sure. It's hard for me to go BN unless I see strong evidence. However, I don't see a massive torch signal either like a SE ridge for instance.
  2. No from an anomaly POV. Especially the SE. So based on their average temps. New England was a torch, especially NNE.
  3. Extended HRRR juices up a bit Wed aftn too. A local P&C sounding at 18z Wed was dam cold just off the deck. Something to watch.
  4. Yes as a whole for the month the south will be a lot cooler, especially the SE.
  5. Where do you come off with that idea? It's a notable cold snap for them and kind of goes to the point that while the NE was warm this month, the south was cooler relative to normal. Nobody's refuting how warm 2023 has been for a large put of the east and south.
  6. And even if one of them does not work out, we have a shot for at least one event from 11/7-11/13 or so. At least as modeled.
  7. Whether it's a GFS CNE/NNE snow event or the Canadian gale (all as shown on 12z runs) good to see it active. We've definitely flipped the switch to a more active cold season look.
  8. Still a chance some areas could see first flakes Wednesday with the s/w moving through. Some guidance has enough moisture combined with a weak inv trough to perhaps trigger a few ra/sn shwrs.
  9. Some record or near record cold in TX. DFW area getting a freeze before many in SNE.
  10. Yeah, I’m just speaking in general regarding the EPO. Some seem to think it’s a lock for snow, but not always.
  11. It depends exactly where the ridge axis is. If it’s on the ern side of the domain it can act more like a +PNA. But people get enamored because it delivers the cold shots, but you risk the cold dumping into the plains many times which puts us at risk for something cutting into NY state. Obviously I’d rather have that vs last years -PNA.
  12. Yeah he’s gone wild. Renewables are exponentially getting more efficient /cleaner. It’s where we are going. Deal with it. I’m not an alarmist by any means, but it’s the same of story from fossil fuel weenies. I never realized UHI had an effect on the oceans!
  13. Playing with fire with a -EPO though. Sometimes it’s EPOh-no because storms can cut west of us with a -EPO.
  14. Protest the ski resorts. Shut ‘em down.
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