Doesn’t mean it’s cancelled, but that EPO ridge looked better a few days ago. Maybe we can catch a break for once and have a fun stretch next week and be on the good side of the boundary. You probably have the best shot of all of us.
I don’t disagree with Alan. Frankly that ridge seems weak and transitory. Looks like the Pacific jet will eliminate any cold after a few days in February.
I guess there’s an outside shot of C-1” to the pike, but afraid the low level dry air wins. Maybe eastern PYM county gets some OES, but hi res are really meager all around.
Next week is mildly interesting on guidance. Gonna be a SWFE type look verbatim. It’s just a matter of how much cold air we’ll have to work with. Will it be a 35F rain or snow.
The EPO in early February has been showing signs of breaking down with the big ridge retrograding into NE Siberia. It might mean the colder look in early Feb is abbreviated, but we’ll see.
Hopefully we can get something next week. Friday is toast.
I think for anything near the pike we’d want to see this whole synoptic precip shield modeled further north. Hopefully we see that on tonight’s models. Otherwise 10kts of 850 inflow won’t cut it.