I'd rather get this a little closer like the ICON because either way the CF will be west of you and I for awhile. So I'd rather get some heavy paste vs 1SM -SN that barely sticks.
Euro was cold, but I might bump those temps a tad for you and I.
I think the biggest issue is to develop more confluence to our north. I don’t think it prevents us from flipping to rain, but it could help lead to a colder front end and keep NNE frozen. I thought the euro took a step that way.