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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Mid levels were nice more north, but nam almost had a convective feature near here. However I’m not buying anything close to that clown output right now.
  2. They’re printing out solutions based on what they’re assimilated with and going forward. So while that solution is unlikely, it’s seeing something. You can argue the data it assimilates with is incorrect and it didn’t initialize right, or it’s not handling features properly going forward, but that’s different vs your statement.
  3. Hubbdave with 40” while forecasting 12-18”. “Surprised”
  4. I think you just need the mid levels to remain cool and hope you don’t slot. Like even in the gfs…..I know it’s south, but you do need some dynamics to help.
  5. NAM is north, but you can really see what dynamics do on those clown maps/sim radar. I think for cstl peeps, that's what will be needed to have a chance at something more than an inch or so.
  6. I do see how there could be potential for sure. I’m not totally zeroing out the chance.
  7. That event was a fluke. I stand by my rage. That would have been kicked OTS 99/100 times. That was just one of the several events that found every possible way to crush.
  8. Actually has a WAA thump, especially CT. Probably rate dependent though as the column is so borderline verbatim. Barely 0C at 850.
  9. Yeah perhaps following whatever comes about. I'm still not enthused with the look overall though into the 10th or so. Kind of riding the line there for awhile.
  10. That ridge is just a bit too far east I think for later next week.
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