CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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On this run
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Tucks into Ants cruiser.
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Gonna be some rain here. Much warmer.
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Will be biggun and a bit warmer.
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I think a scraper is a low prob. Like Will said, it's all or nothing really. Non-linear response. Either it happens or it doesn't. A scraper is not, non-zero....but I don't see that as an option that has a good chance of happening.
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EPS members aren't exactly well dispersed. They're all way offshore which is a little concerning.
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It’s always hard on ensemble mean, but ideally you want to see it a bit more buckled and definitely not positively tilted like the earlier time stamps.
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It improved, but I was hoping for something a bit better.
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I was just going by the mean, I have not seen individual members. Don’t yell at me yell at the model.
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EPS mean did not look great to me
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Yep. Anyways, just BS topics at this point. We'll see what the euro shows. My guess is that it drags the srn energy a bit.
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That's ideal for the Catskills....even for you I don't think you'd want that.
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Still borderline on the coast for a time, but we'll take what we can get. Ideally getting this to bomb a little more east and curl towards the islands might be better...but as long as this doesn't tuck into Anthony's precinct.
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Yeah that is a great signal on the GEFS.
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This isn't Feb 2013. I get a Jan 2011 vibe a bit with that precip distribution and temps...but that was more nrn stream I believe.
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It's not just about the existence of it...timing of all these things is so precarious. What a complicated flow.
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Maybe NJ points N deformed as low develops and matures.
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H7 is in a great spot for deep erly flow. More of a CCB vs deformation.
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78blizzard is waiting for Uncle and Canadian.
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NJ pummeled.
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All downhill from here.
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This should be a biggun low.
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Well the H7 stuff occurring where it would make sense..well north where models had little precip. Nice to see meteorology over modelogy. I did think some of that would sneak into nrn areas yesterday, but sort of in between forcing there. Good news is it should fill in a bit after lunch I think.
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PNA goes negative so yeah expect some ridging perhaps. But it looks like a potential SWFE look.
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That was modeled. Once the DGZ dries out it’s just light low level stuff. Hrrr has a lull for awhile.
