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CoastalWx

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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. CoastalWx
    Nah Eric Webb said 13-14 and 14-15.
  2. CoastalWx
    I think so
  3. CoastalWx
    It's been accepted. We look out the window with breathe fogging the glass and weenies pointing NW. Can't expect much with S flow in early December.
  4. CoastalWx
    18z HRRR going strong in the ORH hills. Still iffy for a time by Kevin's hood, but he'll flip to good snows verbatim for a time.
  5. CoastalWx
    Literally every event except the two CJs.
  6. CoastalWx
    It beefed up from 00z, but bulk of QPF is SE of a KBOS-Ginxy line.
  7. CoastalWx
    Euro with 6hr QPF from 6z-12z of 0.2" or so at ORH. Those flaccid rates aren't helping.
  8. CoastalWx
    Still on the milder side too.
  9. CoastalWx
    Clowns are gonna clown in these setups. Just beware.
  10. CoastalWx
    What about prior time stamps that have NYC above 60.
  11. CoastalWx
    But I’d say greater than 15:1 possible after it cools slightly from like 6z-12z in higher elevations.
  12. CoastalWx
    Ratios likely will be less than 10:1 initially, especially south of ORH. Even Kevin will be slop for a bit. As temps cool to 31-32 near 1K, ratios should be higher as lift goes into the DGZ. Not sure how high as layer near 925 is still mild for a time.
  13. CoastalWx
    Strong isentropic lift and some steep lapse rates aloft so that will help offset the typical srly flow/low qpf results one would expect. So I guess the question is where roughly in longitude does this occur? Near NJ/NYC or further east?
  14. CoastalWx
    I’ll sell the Reggie clowns here.
  15. CoastalWx
    He’s sweating 2” vs 4”+ and I’m raining. My heart bleeds for him.
  16. CoastalWx
    Kevin, I agree with Will. I think you’re good overall. Stop worrying and enjoy what falls. Maybe not the jack, but it will be nice event where you are I think.
  17. CoastalWx
    I don’t know if anybody has noticed this, but a lot of southern states lately have had snow. Most recent is coastal North Carolina. Right near Wilmington.
  18. CoastalWx
    I’ll go for that tuck lol. But yeah, one of these days we need to catch a break. Next week seems like an opportunity, although I think the odds are sort of stacked against our area.
  19. CoastalWx
    Maybe not, but it’s unstable aloft and could really help to wring it out. Plus SW flow is good for you. I’d like to see more confidence in guidance as we still have some variability.
  20. CoastalWx
    Winds are south initially then go SW and that’s probably when Kevin flips.
  21. CoastalWx
    It will be a struggle I think there. Even Kevin is on the line but he’s good for 2-4 I believe. Congrats on being “surprised” again.
  22. CoastalWx
    NAM is dam snowy ORH county again. Kevin on the line, but does flip.
  23. CoastalWx
    Hrrr is kind of warm in CT but gets the nrn ORH hills good. Looks like after 12z some areas could flip to snow and possible squalls on cold front.
  24. CoastalWx
    Those are garbage. You should use the HREF instead.
  25. CoastalWx
    Euro is interesting next week. Potential mixed event
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