CoastalWx

Can’t even snow at elevation.

It’s all fake wolfie as we enjoy another top tier warm month.

Lots of fake temps today. 31 for the lame low. I still have summer flowers going strong.

You’ll enjoy the rain as well with that look

Sweet. Can’t wait for recycled marine air.

At least he’ll accelerate the death of winter so the season of Sandbar Scooter can extend.

I never said that. Only excited for fire. Winter is nonexistent. December looks gone.

We are burning alive here. Fires all over the place. Can see the smoke plume from the Lynn fire. Still have a big one a few miles away in Braintree burning. Lots of other towns drained from mutual aid with multiple fires in many towns. With no sign of winter for weeks, it’s all we got.

Going wild tonight. November of yore.

The nice thing about patterns like these is that it gives no hope for snow. The worst is a lousy pattern where maybe you have a chance, but then it falls apart. Zero chance with this, even in mid winter.

75 for the high

What does Mark Magarbage think?

Alrighty quite breezy here.

Yeah I looked myself. Hopefully GFS suite is right.

It should get more active later in the month.

A violent sell

What’s EPS have? Euro op sucks.

Summer is back

It’s unreal.

Only time I didn't use it during the winter, was during the 6 week snow blitz in 2015. Otherwise I try to dig a path around it to use it. I keep it covered as well.

I love grilling in the winter.

There is a little more skill saying a pattern is unfavorable vs favorable, especially early in the season. A favorable pattern still needs the right track. So while patterns can look favorable, you still can't be sure of a low track within a 50 mile certainty to deliver, 4 weeks out. However, A big ridge in the east on almost all guidance says to me that there is more confidence in saying a pattern is unfavorable. Whether the low tracks over ORD or SYR has the same effect for us vs having something pass at a favorable location with a good antecedent airmass. If that makes sense. Again, not cancelling winter or even December, just not a fan of how things look heading into the beginning of the month. That has no bearing on winter.

I think there is enough skill based on the guidance I see to say with confidence that is doesn't look favorable for the next 4 weeks. Especially SNE. Could we always sneak in something? Sure...but just speaking on a high level.

To be clear I am also more SNE centric. We know even in NNE, unfavorable looks can still deliver.

Nobody has, or will ever like negative takes on this board. I'm not cancelling winter, just not a fan of things heading into December. Hopefully it changes later in the month.