CoastalWx

Nah, cancelled through 1/20.

The interior likely will see some snow next week. It's fine. We'll go through a stretch of a week to 10 days where it may get ugly, but we've seen much worse.

This is what happens when you start threads too early.

NAM is abysmal

Crushed. Pretty sure it was that year when I was at Edaville and mad at how much snow they had.

And in 2015

We elderly

No, but it I remember being jelly of the pack.

I even have video of me asking where the snow was in 84-85. Honest to God lol.

Born in 79 bitch

Ha you weenies. If this were the 80s you’d cream yourself. You have no idea.

Light snow Monday and a potential snow or mix after.

Even on the EPS it was low on 3” probs. The clown maps were too generous as well. Throwing snow down with temps above 0C at 925. Meh. You had a garbage airmass to start and we’re relying on dynamics to cool it. You know how that goes.

This whole thing was so marginal to begin with, and it’s not like the euro dropped 18 to 24 inches only to bring it back down to 2 inches.

Boy what a melt in here the last few hours.

The thing with 500 MB Heights, is that small differences in scores actually could represent rather important differences with spatial outcomes. It may look statistically insignificant, but those differences could represent small differences in placements of ridges and troughs at Day “X” but the sensible wx outcome for a specific point could vary quite a bit based on these differences. In general at day 3 we expect all models in general to show a trough or ridge in the same general place. However a small change in 50 miles of the 500mb 560 height contour, may matter significantly with downstream sensible wx outcome.

Those soundings are a little coarse, but shit...

Storm after looks better.

Nick is right, there was a diff with the nrn and srn streams early on at like hr 30.

Looks like SE MA gets decent snows to end. Basically comes down to a non-closed H5 low.

One bite, everyone gets their ass bitten.

Dog food?

That's a big shift in 6 hrs.

Euro folding.

It may not be a fluke, but if the H5 low moves south or is less intense, that will have an effect on the outcome. I don't think the euro will completely abandon what it had at 6z, instead it may adjust. Or maybe it holds stubborn..lol.