CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Yeah, you may get 12" instead of 16".
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Euro a little stronger with the second wave, maybe a tad warmer...but overall very similar.
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I could see 1-3. Hope for Reggie lol.
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Nothing worth noting on the coast. That has not changed.
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I'll take the under on Reggie even though we wish.
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LOL ****ing GFS. Big changes. Look at hr 66-72 on the 18z run compared to hr 72-78 on the 12z run. What a joke.
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Things are just setting up for a hell of a melt from Kev.
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What a wishcaster.
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Even with so called adjustments you'd be hard pressed to get much ice. You need to be closer to source region.
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EPS says to keep en eye out, but I admit...my gut says probably misses SE.
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You guys look pretty locked to get smoked up there.
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I’m just taking very cursory glances on my phone. I’ll know more when I get in later.
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Hope for 1-3 and call it a win
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Yeah similar spots to 2008 there too.
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In a flip to snow at the end too. Could be quite nasty as it ends in most areas.
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Yeah looks like it. That looks like a disaster for southern New Hampshire and interior northern mass.
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I feel like most guidance is 1-3 there. GFS and NAM the weakest. Chance it could be more if we had a bigger thump.
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I saw cold push, but not sure what you meant. I was looking more beyond the surface.
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And it's weird because the 3K NAM is juicy with that. It has nice WAA on the 12K NAM, but as you said...not too much precip with it.
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It still could correct a tad, and I'm not holding out much hope here, but it would be nice if more of the board other than the picnic tables in nr VT to Moose dropping, Maine...could get in on some action.
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And juicy with the front end. GFS is really meager with that.
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I didn't see this mentioned, apologies if someone did, but the piece of the TPV (tropospheric polar vortex) is definitely pressing more into the area north of the Great Lakes. It appears that is helping to ever so flatten the flow a bit and force the second wave a tad SE.
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12z GEM colder too compared to 00z.
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Cooler than 0Z down here, but still looks out to lunch with that depiction.
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Subtle s/w distinctions like shape and phasing mean a ton. But I wonder if that cold press formed by weak meso lows are getting into guidance and “adjusting” some low placements further south. Still can change, however.
