CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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EPS mean did not look great to me
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Yep. Anyways, just BS topics at this point. We'll see what the euro shows. My guess is that it drags the srn energy a bit.
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That's ideal for the Catskills....even for you I don't think you'd want that.
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Still borderline on the coast for a time, but we'll take what we can get. Ideally getting this to bomb a little more east and curl towards the islands might be better...but as long as this doesn't tuck into Anthony's precinct.
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Yeah that is a great signal on the GEFS.
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This isn't Feb 2013. I get a Jan 2011 vibe a bit with that precip distribution and temps...but that was more nrn stream I believe.
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It's not just about the existence of it...timing of all these things is so precarious. What a complicated flow.
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Maybe NJ points N deformed as low develops and matures.
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H7 is in a great spot for deep erly flow. More of a CCB vs deformation.
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78blizzard is waiting for Uncle and Canadian.
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NJ pummeled.
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All downhill from here.
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This should be a biggun low.
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Well the H7 stuff occurring where it would make sense..well north where models had little precip. Nice to see meteorology over modelogy. I did think some of that would sneak into nrn areas yesterday, but sort of in between forcing there. Good news is it should fill in a bit after lunch I think.
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PNA goes negative so yeah expect some ridging perhaps. But it looks like a potential SWFE look.
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That was modeled. Once the DGZ dries out it’s just light low level stuff. Hrrr has a lull for awhile.
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It’s really interesting how low level WAA is driving this. You can see that blob near in south of DC. I think you’re starting to see some of the bands congeal a bit in nrn MD as fronto moves in. But that stuff near and S of DC is all 925-800 or so driven.
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I have no gut anymore. It’s punched out. Good time for a break this week.
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Kind of acts to keep the ridge sort of folding over. I agree with Dendrite that the initial s/w doesn’t allow the flow to buckle much. We’ll see what 12z does, but we need some large changes in the flow.
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You also have a crap ridge out west with another s/w crashing into the PAC NW. Too much shit going on. Going to need to see big changes.
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Pretty sweet setup there. You’ll clean up. Enjoy!
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Pinging may get close to DC. At the least you’ll probably notice that “noisy” snow that’s rimed and audible as it hits the ground, leaves etc.
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Great event for Wes down in his hood.
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I mentioned yesterday that snow growth may not be great. The DGZ is rather small and higher up in the atmosphere. Most of the forcing is from the 850-700 area with some of the heaviest echoes producing better flakes as that lift reaches deeper into the atmosphere. So basically you have the lower vis, small flake type stuff. This aftn will be better snow growth, but probably a lot of that 3/4 to 1SM type snow where even though the vis isn’t that low, it still adds up.
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The initial forcing mostly 850-700 is really pounding just north of the mix line. I think between that and this system sort of being squashed east, we aren’t seeing the typical mid level goodies well to the north that we typically see. I’ll probably be a little too high with my thoughts there. For the peeps well N of DC, I think you’ll slowly add up later this morning and aftn while it may slot in the metro areas before round 2 moves in. Seems like things going as planned so far.
