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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. You’ll slot quicker though. Jack is north but you’ll do well. I could see 5-6 there.
  2. Someone will see 6”. Probably high elevations of Worcester and berks. Congrats Dave. Think 1-3 here.
  3. GFS trying to a little CCB action too in the hills into ern areas. Probably good near rt 2 verbatim. Not sure how much falls in the aftn, but an interesting feature.
  4. GFS came in colder which is no surprise. Heck of a thump near the Cape and some of it might be snow.
  5. Yeah reggie is decent, Looks like it's just beefier like Ineedsnow said. The front end on this thing is rather intense for about 4 hrs or so. Sometimes in these systems, the slot comes in fast, but you can see on 700 and 500 that you have this narrow tongue of good warm air advection and moisture advection moving in. Very evident when looking at the VV products. It then fans out and deforms, giving you this burst of precip on the nose of this. Sometimes the elements are convective and nature and areas end up doing very well in the meat of the heavies. You want good rates in April, and this looks like it could do it. Even areas near the Cape will probably snow before ending as some rain as rates lessen and it warms up near 850. It may take an hour or two in the low spots, but it should flash over in many areas near 5z-6z (1-2a).
  6. I was just going to post that. It’s been lost up until now.
  7. ORH for sure. They’ll get hang back a bit too in the morning.
  8. I’d take it. Just good enough.
  9. Bit of a SWFE look with the thermals.
  10. He doesn't even represent Tolland. LOL.
  11. Kevin is always waving his weenie about being in and up. All the time. So yeah, I like how Ray bent him over a snowboard.
  12. You hate that. It drives you nuts.
  13. I don't mean it will happen, but if it did I would not be shocked. 10 or 15 miles is easy to do. Looks like 18z is fairly similar to me. If anything the low might be a bit weaker.
  14. It is, but it's a fine line between nothing and 3". If it moves north..so does the area of little snow. Just watch for it. I do think you would get a decent front end even if it did flip to rain.
  15. It ticked north at 925, and could see another tick north again tonight.
  16. HRRRx or whatever we are calling it , has decent DGZ column on it's product. It has a deeper column on the big thump even on the south coast. Of course temps there are borderline, but sometimes that can help. I wonder if areas along the south coast start as rain, flip to paste, and then back to -RASN again as rates lighten up.
  17. Will be non-accumulating melting faster than the falling snow, after 8am.
  18. That initial thump is real I think. All models have it. It's possible this is like a 4 hr thump with lighter junk after. Like 80% falls in 4 hrs.
  19. Dude you would beat me by 50" assuming I didn't get anything. LOL. Not that pathetic for you.
  20. You had a hell of an omega thump. That may help you.
  21. Kuchie is weird. Non-Kuchie makes more sense.
  22. That was about what I expected. The bump north. Not a huge jump.
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