CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Getting back to what PF said, quite the 12 hr change in the euro.
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Georgey Pourgey...haha Nah, nothing to do with last two winters. I secretly have a bit of a good feeling...but there is no science in that..lol. Just maybe playing the odds a bit. I'm hoping we can end the stretch of black holes near Greenland for once. At least maybe have it average more neutral.
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Yeah I wasn't checking every run, just the more amped solutions i think may be tamed. Canadian and GFS are more anafrontal stuff with a bit less CCB action until it gets into Maine.
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Just make lunchtime on great, and we take.
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I think the only group preferring '11-'12, would be the south coast into interior srn CT. They got the Halloween snow and also that weenie deformation band on 1/19 or whenever that day was. The south coast just got the deformation snows in January of that year, but shit...that was 10-12". I couldn't buy 5" that year in one storm.
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I'm tossing the more amped and less progressive solutions like yesterday. Even 00z and 06z ticked east. That's all. I expect good, widespread rains.
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I don't prefer 11-12, but last year was right up there locally. I mean after that December event, we had the advisory deal mid month...but nothing after that. Some minor thing in January, and that was it. There was nothing to look forward to. And then as if 2020 wasn't starting out bad enough, mother nature decided one more bend over and have a frigid April and May. Maybe COVID is influencing it, but I am happy to look past winter of '19-'20.
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Yeah I was gonna say, there is your OV track to cyclogenesis near the New England coast.
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It's done by late morning.
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It's tossed.
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Eff a Saturday soaker and college football. Get this out of here ASAP for a nice weekend.
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Good point, I'd like to see the precip anomalies too along side that.
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Yeah, not south of a LWM to BDL line or so. Last year sucked.
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Luke is shook. I take solace that it cannot be worse than last season.
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No, lol. I mean he is going. I have never been there. I go to Winnipesaukee because my folks have a place there, although more like a cottage.
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Yeah I noticed that. Would be a chilly rain here.
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@wx2fish going to Pittsburg NH this weekend. Grid collapser on the NAM.
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Yeah I mean in your main area of Stowe at 700', you need everything to work out. But resort level, and especially above 2K...that might get interesting. Obviously lots of details to work out. One thing that might help....especially western slopes, is the NW CAA while upsloping at the same time.
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It's the type of setup where if one parameter doesn't quite work, forget it for those in lower elevations. I'd be conservative this far out, but the dynamics are quite good as modeled.
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Man the hammer drops in the Plains. That is classic Nina.
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Getting back to Friday night and Saturday, that is a sweet spot at 700mb in VT. You have a big thermal gradient from west to east. If you want surprise snow, that will do it.
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NAM does go isothermal so even 1K could see some...IF IF that occurred.
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I was hoping to try and go ski this year for the first time in years..maybe even get my son to go. I definitely will not be able to go enough for the value of a pass, so day tickets it will be.
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I believe so.
