I think people expect 8-12" events to grow on trees after the last decade, but in reality they don't have a return rate that is frequent if you look at climo. When I look at that, I consider 8-12 (especially 12") to be a major event.
Yeah I think 8-12 would cover many areas, maybe a narrow area getting it more where the mesoscale fronto is. I still think those north of pike may get into decent fronto. Even you Ray.
NAM goes nuts for a variety of reasons..lol. I do think That area near UNV on N and E get smoked due to the mid levels closing off and going to town. That is jack zone IMO.