CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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I think the global ensembles for something starting in 18 hrs is not the way to go.
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Here’s the HREF. Can see the meso low influence, but of course where and how it tracks will need to be determined.
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I lost a tenth of an inch. Again you don’t use global model ensembles for this.
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I don’t forecast with emotion. Someone will get screwed, but some will get soaked, and not just western NE.
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I don’t use an ensemble that doesn’t know convection 24 hrs out. And eps didn’t really shift.
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Euro op didn’t shift.
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It’s a convective model that shifts every run. They’ll be two jacks. Eastern NY and western NE is one of them. Then another probably with meso low. Also SE Ma and especially cape cod will get a second round later tomorrow night. Might be the Cape’s best chance.
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They’ll be some good rains in SNE as the low develops and moves overhead. The globals aren’t going to resolve the convective nuances. Not everywhere will get it, but I think many areas get a decent drink.
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Euro looks pretty good for tomorrow.
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Meanwhile, lowest ACE to date in the ATL in 34 years.
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We had dews mid 60s yesterday. As soon as winds go south, that’s gonna grab the moisture off the south coast this time of year. Friday was desert like for sure.
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Yeah not too bad, although dews creeped up yesterday and more humid today for sure.
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Sneaky heatwave
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All guidance has a decent widespread signal for rain tomorrow. We hope.
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Was a great beach day. That peninsula known as Duxbury beach is a treasure. Stupid plovers threatening to close the whole place down. @amarshall leading the charge to prevent that.
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We stealth mode
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Basically. We lower sunglasses and look at yummy mummies.
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Duxbury beach. We drive on.
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We beach. Don’t go summer! I
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I mean cat 1 winds in a October of last year in SE MA took up to 5 days to restore power. Like Will said, imagine EF2 winds from CT river on east.
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Absolutely. Can’t even comprehend that lol.
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Yeah we’d be knocked into the Stone Age if 38 redux occurred. If you take the track and intensity, you’d basically have the whole region as one massive outage. That would be an enormous undertaking for resources to first clear roads and then restore power.
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Country ftl
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We all love big winds and damage.
