CoastalWx

It typically is a -PNA which usually is lower than normal heights from AK into the Rockies. El Niño is the opposite. Because of our latitude we can do fairly well in Nina’s, especially if the dateline ridging is more poleward. Sometimes you can get real lucky and get a period of blocking to really make it snowy and turn those lows that would cut, into either SWFEs or Miller Bs that redevelop under SNE. You also can play with fire in that pattern if the troughing out west is really deep and/or a raging +NAO. 07-08 was probably the one winter where the NAO was so positive, it set up confluence to our northeast and forced would be cutters to redevelop more towards the cape and SE MA. In general, SNE does better when the ENSO phases are on the weaker side. You generally don’t want strong Nino or Nina.

Some of these guys are hacks too. If I’m paying 500+ bucks for a cleanup, it better be licked clean.

That’s his AmWx password.

A La Nina means trough in the west. And also, how would a trough in the west mean us whiffing?

That and the ARW. But I think you’ve been ok last several years overall.

I didn’t look at the specifics yet. Is that one of the results? That’s great then. However, how does that help the tropics which rely on that for development? Also, I saw how it had a bias for high PWATs. It went nuts in TX for that TC a few weeks ago. I didn’t realize how bad that was, but that argues in your argument about diabatic craziness.

I mean everyone gets excited because it nails the PWAT over UOOO, but misses a major hurricane in the Caribbean. Yay upgrade!

We will see.

Ripping fatties too in that. That was fun.

I remember Kevin's post. Sleeting at 19, while HYA was S+ and 33F.

It had a great December, but sort of sputtered in srn areas after that. The Cape and SE areas did have a heck of a storm in January, but I can see why you wouldn't remember it much. That was the December that had the awful commute storm. 12/13/07. That is one commute I would like erased from memory. Ha, ninja'd from Will.

But either way, it was very warm...followed by a good winter. Although one could argue it was meh (07-08) for you...but not a ratter.

I honestly don't see anything that scares me outside the seasonal voodoo-casts. My gut says if we don't have a cooperative arctic, it may stink, but fortunately we have some things in our favor for the arctic to cooperate.

That model sucks lately. It's taking a dump on itself with the so called rain today. Easy to toss it.

And baseball.

Yep, with that nice screamer to end it too.

GOES-16 will be able to catch him hiking on Mansfield with that albedo he has.

October 2007 was warm and stein.

I noticed the trees really popping yesterday. Went for a hike along Indian Head river in Hanover and maples were popping.

Sticks and ticks for PF as he walks the dog with bare trees and 70s.

What a Torchtober to remember. Looks like we’ll drop down a bit after this week.

Yep.

Siggity sell.

LOL ok.

Beer?