CoastalWx

I was thinking that too regarding the srn vort...but sometimes the convection pumps the heights up too. I guess we can hope it's more progressive.

No it's possible given the physics like JC said.

I'll say this again, I am dumbfounded how that s/w dives south with a ridge folding behind it, yet turns the corner like one of those zero degree turn Troy-built lawnmowers. WTF.

It seems like the very basic features are not being looked at because it shows a lackluster outcome. If this storm tracks to near NYC and even rots, dumbells over to the Cape, it's already a tough solution near and south of the Pike and down 84 except maybe NW CT and Berks area.. That high retreating rapidly warms 925-850. I don't see anything that says take the over, except maybe for the antecedent airmass. However in those locales I mentioned, that may erode quickly with strong erly flow. I thought Ryan had a good take there for that area and I agree. It also sucks it's not passing by and cold air rapidly moves in. You have a shit airmass coming in from the W and SW before deep CAA takes place.

lips/hips Benchmark

Think he had some lips n hips this morning after the outlier 6z GEFS.

My guess is Berks and nrn ORH do fine with deep erly flow. They'll thump and then slot with maybe some drizzle. Doing fine is relative, but solid 5-8 near Dave certainly is plausible.

Sound like Kevin. No, but I would not rule it out lol.

60 pgs for a storm going over the baseball hall of fame.

He's happy.

WTTTE. Some had fangs ready to pounce.

Yep, gross.

Ukie near BGM.

Maybe 3".

12z GEFS will be west of 6z which makes sense. 6z GEFS will the outlier. But still probably SE of op.

Looks at all those meso lows. LOL. That's going to be tough to figure out, and it's crucial.

Congrats you too. I love how you leave your area out. LOL.

I thought the same. Better confluence, but srn vort slower. Although it was trying to figure out which secondary to use.

Multiple secondary lows.

Still looks like a similar outcome, maybe a bit slower than 6z.

Yep.

I see that too. Lets get that STS to get the confluence going to our northeast.

Ray would love that.

The NAM is sick for the Cape late tomorrow and evening. Some snow with 70mph winds on Bufkit. Jesus.