CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Moving to euro. Confluence gone.
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Lets give that a shot this weekend.
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GFS
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Sun and solar Phil.
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Most of us will get above 32 I think.
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Yeah, although I haven't checked personally, just saying I think that is plausible.
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Think it was bottom up stuff.
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We'll see how the next 24 hours go, but can't afford wholesale steps back.
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I think bottom up?
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Bring in the gimp
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Instead of buckling up, mother nature is going to strap it on.
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It's why I never get caught up with all these exotic looks 10 days out about sigma anomalies etc. We have a hell of a -AO and that PV is going to do enough that despite that AO look...send a low right up our fannies.
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NAM going to be a little warmer I think.
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Lets get DC with more snow on the season than Tolland.
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6z Euro looks horrible for the weekend too.
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I'd pay close attn there tomorrow night. NAM has a real strong fronto sig there despite the lack luster QPF. I still would not be shocked if snow kisses to BDR-FMH corridor.
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Possibly.
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Well they are in the best spot.
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You guys might be ok, it's just more dicey down here.
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The 6z GFS is "probably" the more likely winter scenario vs all snow. You can see at hr 150 we have a s/w that is coming SE and sort of compressing the field a bit to allow the second low underneath SNE. I'm wondering if the easiest route to a colder scenario is to cheer for that, because I feel like a full court press SE is unlikely.
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Well for 11-15 day
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Hopefully the GEFS are closer to correct.
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Gfs works but it’s the snowiest. Not sure that will be realistic.
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Probably for the other thread but 1-2 or 1-3 followed by sleet and then rain is my guess.
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I say that because the past two weak systems have been easy to push south and colder when you have weak shortwaves. The set up this weekend is different, and it won’t be prone to those type of shifts.
