Basically we need the PNA to be less hostile and that block has to retrograde more. You can see the block also is elongated like what I alluded to yesterday. Fortunately the 11-15 day looked better at 12z.
Check this out. I went back on the EPS several days ago. These are valid for 6z Saturday coming up. LOL. The west coast could not be any different as modeled.
MJO from what I saw a couple of days ago looked like it was emerging into the maritime continent and not really towards dateline until mid month. But that hasn’t changed.
Kind of a persistent -PNA. -EPohno ridge near dateline into western AK helping. It’s also possible the block may be helping too as the troughs have nowhere to go, but dive south.