CoastalWx

Nam may be doing Nam things along with the other hi res. It’s also putting a low where there is no low currently. It’s northeast of where models have. Not sure if that means much yet.

I’ll slap some sense into him.

I will say the euros was a long duration coastal battering. Tides get higher until Monday too.

Stalls east of Jersey and then goes NE over SE MA.

12z euro AI a little more east and then violent sling west.

HWW here now. Would think that’s coming. Long Island could get the best winds out of all of us.

Jesus hope you heal up Jeff.

Nam is kind of a no show.

Let’s bury this in Maryland

Convective models will go wild in these setups.

6z euro op is real nasty here. 6z AI about the same as 00z. Euro op continues to flop around.

It’s possible the storm might try to move west twice. Once late tonight and tomorrow, and then it moves kind of northeast and then starts moving north then Northwest south of Block Island. But that angle of approach will matter. The other question I have is the rain squalls. There definitely might be some squally rains with this models aren’t really all in agreement in terms of how much but it should be a good drink across most of southern New England.

I think I did mention that a couple days ago in a post. But honestly to me that doesn’t matter in terms of sensible Weather. I’m just trying to figure out where the storm is going and what the winds and rain will be. It may briefly attain tropical characteristics, but once it gets towards 40 north, it’ll definitely become more subtropical.

I think so. Consensus seems like a loop south of BID, maybe west to south of ern LI and then lifting NE from there. Seems like biggest question is angle or approach before loop. That will dictate best winds and potential coastal flooding.

Euro trying for nj again. Lol