CoastalWx

Still some disagreement, which is no surprise with these cold season synoptics in the warm season. I do think someone’s gonna get dumped on, especially if we have these little embedded meso lows to enhance the rainfall locally.

Garbage model. Although I still like SW CT Jack and a secondary one out east. Models did seem to back off a bit in wrn CT but it could easily come back so no need to knee jerk.

Meanwhile Nam will stein western CT. I’ll toss that.

Gonna setup a gravy train further east at the end of jts run. That depiction makes sense overall on HRRR.

00z hrrr shows you how to flood western CT

Gene that video is nuts. Man what a mundane stretch here compared to 95% of the rest of the country.

Guessing shit weather and a divorce by Friday.

No tstms for you.

Been weird to see you guys so dry and the beaches from NYC to the islands so wet.

Poor guy

I still like my Southwest CT Jack, and then maybe a secondary one in eastern areas. Dendy will get a nice drink.

90% of the posts have been based off emotions and wishcasting.

Some good analysis in this thread.

I did notice traces of webbed hands at the lake last week.

I’d probably side with some high res models but perhaps not fully. Maybe a Nam/euro compromise. This feels like one of those things that we have a 50 mile wide plume of heavy rain with embedded little meso lows in it that will enhance rainfall. That’s especially true I think for Western areas. Further east, we might see another one sort of develop and try to pinwheel to the coast again and some typical enhancement on East Northeast flow. But these setups are always varying from run to run. I do think even up to Dendrite gets a good drink.