CoastalWx

A SSW in Jan and esp Feb would definitely have a better chance of changing the pattern vs anything now. I know weenies want their hopes up for this one, but I would look to later in the season.

I’m not exactly sure we see much if any effects from the Strat split. In fact if the PNA tries to get slightly negative like some guidance shows by mid Novie, the east could get quite mild. Any lag would be perhaps later November to start, but all the guidance into December continues to show a classic strong Nino look overwhelming any Strat coupling. We shall see, but I’m not hopeful on anything more than a cool spell here or there.

I know we joke, but in all seriousness hopefully it’s not too bad up there.

Can sense the fear in PFs posts. He scared.

Probably relaxes a bit like climo usually dictates.

We may have a coastal before mid month, but after you can see in my earlier post that we have the classic PAC screamer of a jet.

That’s refreshing to hear.

He isn’t far from the ocean to the south

He might be the warmest location in all of SNE as a whole for overnight mins. Love to see it.

Yore

This is abnormal. When nothing else compares, I’d say it’s abnormal.

The mean 500 flow isn’t really ridging on the models. However, there is split flow there so there could be some in the means…but also the high heights is a sign of anomalous warmth too.

Ginxy got into the cannabis infused Hershey bar last night?

lol mid month is an inferno. Polar split going to bring warmest CONUS Novie ever? Thank you Super Nino snd CC. We grow.

33 here. Coldest yet. 20s a few feet lower.