CoastalWx

I like looking at the ensemble 50mb view. I also Shoukd mention it’s good to make sure that the split lasts. I’ve seen some splits last just a few days.

I’m not trying to be a Debbie, but it has to be able to couple to the troposphere. I have seen nobody talk about that, only about how there’s a split. If you ask me, it’s a bit misleading… And then I saw one person talk about it could lead to a very sharp cold snap later in November. But that can happen regardless. Polar Vortex splits are meant to adjust the large scale pattern for awhile, not two days. All the stuff I’ve seen just seems very misleading to me and more of click bait type stuff. The irony is that the pattern that helps cause the split will lead to a lot of CONUS warmth. Judah actually agreed on that. This split would also have to fight off Nino forcing which may make it harder to couple to the troposphere. We could see a split have more meaningful impact as @40/70 Benchmark had alluded to come mid winter and beyond. But right now, many energy mets that I know are not sold on this being much or anything.

Like who? lol. It’s going to lead to a warm November across the CONUS and then restrengthens in December.

5 yr anny of the big blow in SE areas. One of the top wind storms of my life. Phil just dragging his sack all over.

The PV stuff is click bait.

It’s October 27th. lol. Climo laughs at those looking for winter.

It’s also hard for my hood to get to below 32 before 11/1. Might be similar to ORH although I think I hit it once. Since 2020. I did get to 23 on 10/31/20 with 5” OTG lol.

72

Will lead to a very warm CONUS November. Then PV intensifies into December. Maybe we get something that will actually have impacts after mid winter?

Yeah I'd say we have some windy days, but seems like it was driven by 2 or 3 events?

Today will be toasty. Good day for lunch outside.

Man, I can’t drive 55.

Just unmitigated boredom coming up, but I guess I’ll take the nice stretches of weather.

It’s kind of funny I’ll look at my thermometer and then as I walk outside in the dark to go to the gym, you can hear the leaves rustling in the wind. The wind just does not stop on my hill.

40.5 here but frost 60’ lower.