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mob1

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    3/12 Significant Storm Likely (Rapidly Intensifying Coastal Storm with Heavy Rain/Wind Changing to possibly significant snow inland/some snow at the coast.

    in New York City Metro

    Posted

    1 minute ago, crossbowftw3 said:

    That’s a gradient of nothing to 2’ in about 85 miles, with my house at 6-7” in the middle of that. Very much vibes of 12/17/20 

    Considering it's riding a frontal boundary, the gradient will likely be significant. I'm really agonizing over my decision to lock in my trip to Killington, I should've left the option open to change to Whiteface if it trends West. 

    3/12 Significant Storm Likely (Rapidly Intensifying Coastal Storm with Heavy Rain/Wind Changing to possibly significant snow inland/some snow at the coast.

    in New York City Metro

    Posted

    10 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

    Maybe we can get one of those convective lows to develop and tug it east like our 1/30 storm and early Jan storm. Only seems to happen to screw us over though. :lol: 

    In all seriousness this is still likely an inland only snow event but the progressive pattern has pulled these east/suppressed before. If I was in Central NY/PA I’d start to sweat. 

    I almost cancelled my ski trip because it looked like it was going to rain in VT, but now I need the storm to trend back west and a little more amplified ☺.

    3/12 Significant Storm Likely (Rapidly Intensifying Coastal Storm with Heavy Rain/Wind Changing to possibly significant snow inland/some snow at the coast.

    in New York City Metro

    Posted

    10 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

    Gulf origin storm, amps, no NAO/AO blocking, no 50/50, thunderstorms blowing up in the SE, this is going to correct northwest. The models are underestimating the SE ridge right now 

    You said this yesterday when models were well NW of where they are now, the odds of this ending up NW of where the NAM was yesterday are rather low. Although it can definitely trend NW of where it is now. 

     

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    March 12 Rain to…more rain? Maybe some snow

    in New England

    Posted

    1 minute ago, dendrite said:

    Am I the only one not wowed by the wind with this?

    It's really not a big deal anymore, we're sacrificing a really fun dynamic system so Boston can get s slushy inch of snow (and yes, we totally control the outcome). 

     

    I'll be in VT most of next week so I hope models trend back a bit to a more dynamic system with a bit more QPF. 

    • Like 2

    3/12 Significant Storm Likely (Rapidly Intensifying Coastal Storm with Heavy Rain/Wind Changing to possibly significant snow inland/some snow at the coast.

    in New York City Metro

    Posted

    While the east trend is nice, it's partly because the flow is very fast so the storm starts amplifying further NE than originally forecasted. Since the storm is riding a frontal boundary, this delay allows the boundary to slip a bit east a potentially give part of the area some snow.

    The issue with that is that we're sacrificing a much more exciting storm for some wet snow that might not even accumulate in most areas. I'd personally rather get a 960 mb low over NH that gives us 60 mph gusts and severe weather than this. This strung out low (relative to what it showed) also means that the areas that will see all snow will likely get a lot less. I guess I'm a sucker for a dynamic bomb, regardless of how it impacts the weather for my backyard. 

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