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Blizzard-on-GFS

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Posts posted by Blizzard-on-GFS

    2/13 rain to snow event

    in Philadelphia Region

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, Blizzard-on-GFS said:

    One thing I’ve learned from this is if temperatures are iffy, always use the snow depth snow maps, or look at soundings. Kuchera and 10-1 maps were completely off, even the 12z Kuchera this morning were printing out over 8 inches of snow for central New Jersey when most places in that area ended up with 1-2” at best. I remember last night the RGEM snow depth had about 1 to 3 inches for the area so it was pretty dang close and it was also pretty good for north and west areas where it had 6 to 8 inches modeled.

    check out the massive differences below. 10” for CNJ on 10-1 vs 2” on snow depth. That should always be a tell tale sign. 

    IMG_3282.png

    IMG_3281.png

    2/13 rain to snow event

    in Philadelphia Region

    Posted

    One thing I’ve learned from this is if temperatures are iffy, always use the snow depth snow maps, or look at soundings. Kuchera and 10-1 maps were completely off, even the 12z Kuchera this morning were printing out over 8 inches of snow for central New Jersey when most places in that area ended up with 1-2” at best. I remember last night the RGEM snow depth had about 1 to 3 inches for the area so it was pretty dang close and it was also pretty good for north and west areas where it had 6 to 8 inches modeled.

    • Like 1

    2/13 rain to snow event

    in Philadelphia Region

    Posted

    2 hours ago, LVblizzard said:

    It is actually comical how far off yesterday’s 12z Euro was. Many of the areas in the 2-4” zone got a foot. And most of south Jersey away from Philly got shut out or close to it.

    IMG_0703.png

    Epic Bust here in CNJ :( happy for the NW crew though. We got less than 2" and it has all been completely melted by mid-afternoon here in Bordentown, NJ. Kind of amazing how every model this morning had 4-8" for the area. Probably got around 1.5" if that....

    • Weenie 1

    February 2024

    in New York City Metro

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said:

    It did come north at 18z FWIW. 

    Yes, slightly but the whole idea that this is going to be nothing but rain for odd 95 is definitely a doomer attitude. This is legitimate threat for I 95.

    • Like 3
    • Weenie 1

    January 19, 2024 Powder Snow Event

    in Philadelphia Region

    Posted

    Ripping snow down in Manahawkin, radar looks great down here, we only saw a little over an inch with the earlier bands. This is our chance here for accumulations. SE Jersey coast looks to be in good shape. Waiting/hoping that this band pivots into an inverted trough as the low pulls away. Gonna be real interesting to see if that feature ends up setting up or not. 

    • Like 4
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