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DomNH

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Everything posted by DomNH

  1. DomNH
    Really have no idea if I'll wake up to 6-7'' of pure concrete and no power tomorrow or 3'' of crud. At least it looks like things improve pretty quickly in the morning. Cautiously optimistic my 3 pm out of MHT will survive.
  2. DomNH
    HRRR is also the quickest to fizzle things out tomorrow morning in SNE. Really pounds for a few hours though north of Route 2.
  3. DomNH
    17z HRRR might be the coldest run yet.
  4. DomNH
    NAM is straight sleet south of MHT.
  5. DomNH
    Kuchera isn’t reliable on the best of days.
  6. DomNH
    Yep. Doesn't look like the miracle is going to happen.
  7. DomNH
    Looking at the soundings it's either mostly sleet or shitty rimed flakes at best. H7 remains right about at 0c throughout the overnight and then the DGZ dries out once it tries to flip.
  8. DomNH
    Looks like shit with the precip shield too.
  9. DomNH
    HRRR is really ugly with the dryslot after about 10z. Continuing the trend from 18z there.
  10. DomNH
    Yeah the 18z Euro sucked in the marginal areas. Midlevel warmth didn't budge and precip rates during the important 06z - 12z timeframe were not impressive.
  11. DomNH
    Yeah seemed a little aggressive but what do I know. It's such a fragile setup at a time of year where fragile is tough. GFS is a good example of how it could happen but everything is going to have to break just right. 18z HRRR is a good example of the opposite. ML warmth + inconsistent rates + April solar insolation = 1-2'' of meh. Going to need to absolutely fooking pound consistently overnight to achieve warning snows. Truth is probably somewhere in the middle. Gun to weenie I'd go 2-4'' here.
  12. DomNH
    NAM like the Euro is a scalping here til 06z then a crusty inch or two before it dries out quickly and slots after 12z. Fugly
  13. DomNH
    Surprised GYX went straight to warnings here.
  14. DomNH
    Euro blows. Bunch of sleet to a crusty inch before it dries out.
  15. DomNH
    It's not an isothermal paste bomb sounding though during the overnight hours once the H7 warmth washes out. It's pretty damn cold right about down to the surface.
  16. DomNH
    Verbatim it's a textbook snow sounding from like 03z to 09z then it starts to rapidly dry out up top. Can't rule out 1''+/hr poundage during that window though. Razor thin.
  17. DomNH
    Depth change still really meh til you hit CON outside of elevated Monads/Berks/N ORH. Tough one...
  18. DomNH
    Dries out the DGZ really quickly Thursday morning like the NAM, but that's a pounding from like 03z to 12z.
  19. DomNH
    Was going to literally post the same thing. NAM depth change is 1-4'' from about Rt. 2 to MHT through 12z Thursday and I think that's probably what I'd go with at this point. Annoying slop but def close to something more interesting.
  20. DomNH
    You're def in a "great" spot. I have a flight out of MHT later Thursday afternoon so I'm rooting for the slot.
  21. DomNH
    Yeah I agree. I haven't looked at the NAM soundings yet but the 06z GFS soundings here were kind of sh*t in that regard. DGZ was bone dry throughout then H7-H8 dried out pretty quickly after 12z.
  22. DomNH
    12z NAM kinda reminds me of the 06z Euro for the Rt. 2 north region. Pellets til 06z or so Thursday morning, then some slushy snow, then it gets slotty later Thursday morning into the afternoon and that'll kill any accums. Going to need to lose the sleet if we want a better chance of advisory snows overnight in this area because anything after 12-14z or so Thursday is pointless.
  23. DomNH
    06z Euro is still scalpy through 06z to the NH border but goes to town after that. Could see advisory snows from that 06z - 12z or so window before the dynamics kind of crap out and it flips to ra/sn non-accumulating stuff.
  24. DomNH
    Yes I know lol I just feel like our ceiling is going to be maybe 2-4’’ of slush tomorrow night.
  25. DomNH
    Euro looks like RA/IP to MHT Wednesday night into Thursday before flipping to some slop/non-accumulating crap during the day on Thursday. Idk…not that impressed for the lowlands south of like CON.
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