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Voyager

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    The Ides of March end of Winter 2023

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    44 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

    This is what I am trying to get definition on.  I am hearing that much of the water will run off and the drought is still "on" but local water supplies are refilled for a  period... not sure.   Looks like USGS has most of Arizona off drought right now though other areas of the west are still D1 or D2. 

    From what I'm hearing, Colorado had a decent winter, but for Lake Powell and Lake Mead it would take 10 years of good winters to bring them up to 70 to 80 percent capacity. 

    • Like 1

    E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2023 OBS Thread

    in Philadelphia Region

    Posted

    16 minutes ago, RedSky said:

    I hope it gets as hot, dry and sunny as Death Valley this was the most miserable cold season in my life.

    And what's amazing is that it's been well below normal out here in Phoenix about 75% of all days since November 5th. 

    I was hoping to revel (and gloat to friends/family) about the nice winter weather, and how I was (not) missing all the snow and cold back east.

    That worked out well... :axe:

     

    • Weenie 1

    E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2023 OBS Thread

    in Philadelphia Region

    Posted

    7 hours ago, Albedoman said:

    what a joke 1" in Reading and nearly 8 in at ABE   Give me a break. That run is on drugs. Overdose on heroin model run and Narcan cannot even save it. 

    Not saying you are wrong, but I've seen this scenario with my own eyes. Coming down off the Blue Mountain on 309 into the Lehigh Valley you can see, off to the right, the entire Valley from west of Fogelsville to Bethlehem. A few years back, the eastern half (toward Bethlehem) was white, and the western half was brown. 

    March Medium/Long Range Thread: The Empire Strikes Back

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    2 hours ago, jayyy said:

    As MJO phase 8 settles in and strengthens and wave 1 passes us by… have a feeling we’ll see wave 2 and beyond trend more favorably for us. Especially if we pop that ridge out west like some models are hinting at. Had a few runs where a Boise ridge popped up leading into waves 2 & 3.

    The ridge is supposed to pop. I live in Phoenix now, and the forecast is for mid to upper 80s next week. 

    The Ides of March end of Winter 2023

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    8 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

    18z GEFS ensemble still looks good for CTP snow chances next weekend.

    The mean low track is similar to 12z EPS with the secondary low taking over in the DelMarVa. 
    Several of the individual ensemble members would work well for us.

    We're likely to crack 80 out here for the first time since October this weekend, so hopefully that bodes well for your snow chances back there.

    • Like 1
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