Sey-Mour Snow
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow
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EPS isn't out yet that far lmao -
Really hits EMASS hard on back end
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GEFS still paltry most members have 2" or less for all of SNE .. not too concerned about it considering it's history unless euro and eps follow ..
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Ya I feel pretty good.. It's pretty much all foreign guidance vs American guidance at this point..
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The 6z eps 25th/75th percentile range is 5-6" and 7-8" for a pretty large area of SNE .. It would be a pretty big bust by the EPS to not get plowable ..
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euro only has up to 90 hour on wxbell
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A bit on the extreme side but still about 40% of the members have a wide swath of 6-10" + of snow for all of SNE.. About 70% chance of plowable snow at this time on EPS which is down from yesterday ..
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I think we need a sacrifice .. Let's all vote on sacrificing one member off the board for the 00z euro to verify I think we can make that it happen.
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Forgot our page long dispute? The Pope said it's not going to snow this coming weekend because of the warm Temp anomalies Saturday before the storm.. That's just a blind squirrel (watch out for Wolfie) finding the wrong nut if we happen to get skunked..
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70mb pressure gradient on the storm on the tenth over about 600-700 miles yikes
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I just went cross eyed trying to read that
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Posting these to get an idea where the lean is and where most members favor on EPS ...
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I did notice that and I wouldn’t mind that .
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Rather have a bit south of us before the possible ticks(s) north as these do many times. 6z GEFS look great for me and you as well as EPS.
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5 day mean .. weenie range shows potential for transient PNA ridges like Brooklyn was saying ..
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We (jdj) follow this all the time just to see if the EPS can find sniff out any snow threats and the last 2 years it’s been abysmal this is an absolutely loaded pattern on the eps with more threats beyond 1/7 and 1/10 that it’s sniffing out . Some huge 15 day outputs that I haven’t seen in a while..
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Yes, also a tremendous amount of cold in the central U.S. and Great Lakes to me means that the favored storm track would be on the east coast
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Def speeding up too looks like Saturday evening start down here now. Hopefully we can get some consensus in the next 24-48 hours
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((GGEM+GFS)/2)^2
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Delmarva, it scooted east with the confluence. Just an op run all options still on table ..
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It still becomes a beast .. gets going later and will fringe south coast at best .. (edit doesn't even get north of Baltimore .. congrats DT this run
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could be better for us in the long run IF the trend is later but still gets its act together, bc some guidance did have LBSW
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Pretty massive jump SE and weaker on GFS so far
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Amazing to see how erratic it has become . Gfs almost looks more like the old euro now with its handling of this threat in the 7-8 day range
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Last nights EPS was colder than 12z and a great hit for SNE and CNE 5-7" mean at this range is legit. Several monster hits as well, the lean is North rather than south though so several NNE big hits rather than the Mid-Atlantic, which is good at this range for this forum as it seems like the bigger risk is a whiff south rather than a messy mix. Posted snow axis for just that storm so you can see where the lean is.
